Detroit Pistons @ Indiana Pacers (IND -7.5, 210.5) 7 PM
I understand why this total is so low. The Pacers rank 19th in scoring, while the Pistons rank 20th in scoring. Furthermore, the Pacers rank 20th in possessions per game, while the Pistons rank 25th. These two teams have played twice already this season, the first total reaching 229 and the second game only 190. Derrick Rose is out tonight and led the Pistons in shot attempts the last time these two teams played. The under hit in 5 of the first 6 Pacer’s games before the last two games hit the over. That trend ends tonight. Take the under one more time!
Bet: Under 210.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Pistons 106 Pacers 112
Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic (ORL -7, 208) 7 PM
The Magic have allowed 86.3 ppg at home this season, granted that has been against the Cavs, who rank 22nd in ppg, the Knicks, 29th, and the Nuggets, 25th. Memphis ranks 18th, but if you take away their 134 outburst against Brooklyn and their 137 point explosion versus the Timberwolves on Wednesday, they only average 99.8 points per game, which would make them ranked 29th. We all know how tough it is for the Magic to get to 100, especially since they rank last in the league in possessions per game. I think both teams fail to reach 100 tonight, so take the under.
Bet: Under 208
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Grizzlies 86 Magic 118
Sacramento Kings @ Atlanta Hawks (SAC -2, 225) 7:30 PM
Points Per Game: Sacramento 103.5 (26th) Atlanta 102.6 (27th)
Possessions Per Game: Sacramento 103.2 (26th) Atlanta 105 (19th)
Opponents Points Per Game: Sacramento 111.9 (19th) Atlanta 105 (7th)
Over/Under Record: Sacramento 3-5, Atlanta 0-7
Shall I go on?
Bet: Under 225
Confidence: 5 Units
Result: Kings 121 Hawks 109
Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans (TOR -3, 231) 8:10 PM
The Pelicans have scored 116 points in 6 of 7 games this season, including at least 122 in 4 of those games. Oh, and they are 1-6, which means they are giving up just as much. They have allowed 123 or more in 6 of 8 games this season. The Raptors have scored more than 125 points in 3 games already this season, let’s make a fourth.
Bet: Over 231
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Raptors 122 Pelicans 104
Today’s Record: 1-3
All-Time Record: 6-5
Jonny the Macedonian 