NFL 11/10

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears (CHI -7, 38) 1 PM

With Stafford now out and Trubisky a disaster of an NFL quarterback, I’m not thinking a lot of points in this one. The Lions will want to run the ball, and against the Bears defense that ranks 7th in the league, will cause a lot of problems for the Lions. In home games against teams not named the Saints, the Bears are allowing only 11 ppg. I’ll take my chances that the two worst quarterbacks playing today keep this total under 38. Final Score Prediction: Detroit 6 Chicago 20

Bet: Under 38
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Lions 13 Bears 20

Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns (BUF +3, 41.5) 1 PM

I’m going to take the under in this one as well. Neither team scores more than 20 points per game (Buffalo 19.8 ranks 22nd, Cleveland 19.0 ranks 25th). Other than the Bills let down to the Eagles, the Bills defense allows only 13.4 ppg and unless the Browns offense has suddenly figured something out, I don’t see them figuring out against the Bills. The 31 points given up to Eagles was the only time all season the Bills defense gave up more than 21 points in a game. Final Score Prediction: Buffalo 19 Cleveland 16

Bet: Under 21.5 Cleveland team total
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Bills 16 Browns 19

New York Giants @ New York Jets (NYG -3, 44) 1 PM

This Jets team is a disaster. They have score more than 20 points once, have allowed at least 23 points 7 straight, and Adam Gase is still at the helm. The Giants on the other hand have been playing better football lately, despite the scoreboards reflecting that. The played the Patriots, Cowboys, and Lions to one possession games into the fourth quarters in three of the last four weeks. Any time I can only give up 3 points against the Jets who just lost to a team that was trying to lose, I’ll take it. Final Score Prediction: NY Giants 27 NY Jets 19

Bet: NYG -3
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Giants 27 Jets 34

Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys (DAL -3, 48) 8:20 PM

Kirk Cousins in 5-28 against teams with a winning record and 7-13 in primetime games. We don’t like that. I’ll bet against Kirk Cousins in big games any chance that I can. Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 20 Dallas 31

Bet: DAL -3
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Vikings 28 Cowboys 24


Today’s Record: 2-2
All-Time Record: 2-3

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