NBA 11/14

Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans (LAC -4.5, 235) 8:10 PM

I don’t understand why these totals keep staying so high on Clipper games, but we’ll cash in until someone figures it out. The under has hit in 7 of the last 8 games for the Clippers and now they get a 235 total, the highest of the season. The over cashed in on the Pelicans first 6 games, but the under has cashed in 4 of their last 5. The Pelicans averaged 121.2 ppg in their first 5 games, but have since averaged 112.8 ppg in their last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Clipper’s defense has held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 101 points or less.

Bet: Under 235
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Clippers 127 Pelicans 132

Dallas Mavericks @ New York Knicks (DAL -7.5, 215.5) 8:10 PM

The Knicks have 2 wins on the season, including one in Dallas last Friday night. But don’t let that scare you from siding with the Mavericks in this one. Of their 9 losses, the Knicks have lost by an average margin of defeat of 14.4 ppg including losing by double digits six times, and more than 18 five times including in their last four losses. Mavericks are a team that can score and blow this Knicks team out.

Bet: DAL -7.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Mavericks 103 Knicks 106

Dallas Mavericks @ New York Knicks (DAL -7.5, 215.5) 8:10 PM
Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans (LAC -4.5, 235) 8:10 PM
Atlanta Hawks @ Phoenix Suns (PHX -7.5, 229) 9:10 PM

See the above bets as to why I like the Mavericks and the Clippers. Additionally, the Knicks and Pelicans are a combined 4-17 this season. The Hawks had lost 6 of their last 7 before beating the Nuggets on Tuesday night. They were able to put up a season high 125 points in Denver, but during that previous 7 game stretch, they only scored 102.9 ppg. While both teams rank similarly on defense (Hawks: 14th Suns: 17th), The Suns offense is far better than the Hawks. The Hawks score 106.5 ppg which ranks 23rd while the Suns score 116.6 ppg which ranks 6th, including 118.3 ppg over ther last 6 games in which they have gone 4-2.

Bet: DAL ML/LAC ML/PHX ML
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Mavericks 103 Knicks 106
Clippers 127 Pelicans 132
Hawks 112 Suns 128

Brooklyn Nets @ Denver Nuggets (DEN +9, 222.5) 10:40 PM

Although the Nets are 4-6, their point differential is only -2.2 while the Nuggets , who are 7-3, have a point differential of +2.3. In other words, these teams like to keep it close. 4 of the Nets 6 losses have been by 5 points or less, while 6 of the Nugget’s 7 wins this season have been by 8 points or less. The Nuggets like to grind things out while the Nets like to score as much as possible. Either way this game is paced, the score should be close.

Bet: BKN +9
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Nets 93 Nuggets 101

Today’s Record: 1-3
All-Time Record: 13-12 (52%)