Minnesota @ Northwestern (MIN -13.5, 39.5) 12 PM
The Wildcats have exploded for 67 points over their last 2 games. They had scored 78 in their previous 8 games. However, in those two games they scored 22 against Purdue, who averages allowing 27.8 ppg (62nd) and 45 against UMass, who averages allowing 53.1 ppg (130th). As good as Minnesota’s offense has been this season, scoring 36.6 ppg (15th), their defense has been just as strong, allowing only 20.9 ppg (22nd). Gopher’s quarterback is in concussion protocol and will be a game time decision. I don’t think it will matter either way. It’ll be cold in Chicago, and so will the Wildcats offense. Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 34 Northwestern 10
Bet: MIN -13.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Minnesota 38 Northwestern 22
Illinois @ Iowa (IOWA -15, 46.5) 12 PM
The Illini became bowl eligible for the first time since 2014 with their comeback win in East Lansing last Saturday. They are currently on a four game winning streak in which they are scoring 30.8 ppg and allowing 18.3 ppg. The Hawkeyes have won 3 of their last 4 games including last Saturday’s win against #8 Minnesota. The Hawkeyes offense has improved recently, but are still only scoring 22.8 ppg over their last 4 games and no more than 26 points which was against the 62nd ranked team in scoring defense (Purdue). The 18.3 ppg that the Illini have allowed over the past 4 weeks would rank 13th over the entire season and I think their defense will be able to keep this one close enough to keep it within the two touchdown spread. Final Score Prediction: Illinois 17 Iowa 23
Bet: ILL +15
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Illinois 10 Iowa 19
BYU @ UMass (BYU -39.5, 68.5) 12 PM
UMass has allowed 59.3 ppg over their last five, including allowing 63 or more in 3 of those 5 games. Last week the lost to Northwestern by 39 and this BYU team is much better than the Wildcats. They have won 4 in a row to become bowl eligible allowing those four opponents to 18.3 ppg. Roll with the big favorite. Final Score Prediction: BYU 59 UMass 10
Bet: BYU -39.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: BYU 56 UMass 24
Michigan @ Indiana (MICH -9.5, 54) 3:30 PM
As much as I would like to take IU, I think there is a better value play here. The Wolverines have scored 38 ppg over their last 5 games, including 3 42+ performances. IU has allowed 36.5 ppg over their last 5 “real” Big Ten offenses (not Rutgers or Northwestern). IU just put 27 on Penn State and I think they can keep up enough where the over is good play here. Final Score Prediction: Michigan 42 Indiana 27
Bet: Over 54
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Michigan 39 Indiana 14
Texas @ Baylor (BAY -5, 58.5) 3:30 PM
The Longhorns scored 41.8 ppg in their first 5 games of the season, but in the 5 games, they have averaged 30.4 ppg. Baylor has allowed just 20.8 ppg in regulation over their last 5 games. The under has cashed in 3 of the last 4 Baylor home games. I like Baylor to keep this Texas offense in check coming off a blown 28-3 lead to Oklahoma last weekend. Final Score Prediction: Texas 20 Baylor 27
Bet: Under 58.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Texas 10 Baylor 24
SMU @ Navy (NAVY -3.5, 66.5) 3:30 PM
The over has hit in 9 of SMU’s 10 games this season, most in college football. That’s because they go for 522.2 yards per game which ranks 6th and they score 45.1 ppg which ranks 4th. They have scored 40+ in 8 of their last 9. The over has hit in 6 of Navy’s last 7 games and in a big way, averaging 12.5 more points than the total in those games. Anything under 70 is laughable for the total so I’ll gladly take the over. Final Score Prediction: SMU 41 Navy 44
Bet: Over 66.5
Confidence: 5 Units
Result: SMU 28 Navy 35
Texas A&M @ Georgia (UGA -13, 43.5) 3:30 PM
This is my upset of the week. The Bulldogs have only scored more than 27 points once in their last 7 games. They rely heavily on shutting down the opposing offense who only score 10.5 ppg against this Bulldogs defense. A&M’s offense might be the best that Georgia has seen all season. They have scored 35.2 ppg over their last 5 games. Their only 3 losses on the season came at Clemson, vs Auburn and vs Alabama. I’ll take the Aggies and the points, but I even like them outright. Final Score Prediction: Texas A&M 24 Georgia 17
Bet: TA&M +13
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Texas A&M 13 Georgia 19
Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech (VT -3.5, 44.5) 3:30 PM
Tech has made us bettors some good money lately. They have covered 5 of their last 6 including 4 straight. They are averaging covering the spread by 21 points in those 5 games and they have won 6 of their last 8 SU. Pittsburgh has covered 4 of their last 5 and are 4-0 ATS on the road. I don’t love this one, but since Tech has been so good to us and this being Bud Foster’s last home game for the Hokies, I’ll go back and go with the Hokies to cover. Final Score Prediction: Pittsburgh 17 Virginia Tech 24
Bet: VT -3.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Pittsburgh 0 Virginia Tech 28
Memphis @ South Florida (MEM -14.5, 60) 4 PM
The over has hit in each of the last 7 games for the Tigers. They have score 43.3 ppg over that span. South Florida allows 27.6 ppg which ranks 59th and allowed SMU, a similar offense to Memphis, to put up 48 points. While South Florida’s offense scores only 19.8 ppg which ranks 111th, Memphis has allowed 38.7 ppg over their last 3 games. I’ll gladly take the over. Final Score Prediction: Memphis 43 USF 28
Bet: Over 60
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Memphis 49 USF 10
Oregon @ Arizona State (ORE -13.5, 54) 7:30 PM
The Ducks have scored 41.6 ppg over their last 5 games while the Sun Devils have allowed 32.6 ppg over their last 5 games. The Sun Devils have scored at least 24 points in 6 of their last 7 games while the Ducks have allowed at least 24 points in 3 of their last 4 games. Final Score Prediction: Oregon 38 Arizona State 21
Bet: Over 54
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Oregon 28 Arizona State 31
TCU @ Oklahoma (OKLA -17.5, 65) 8 PM
The Sooners have scored at least 41 points in 8 of their 10 games this season and rank 6th with 44.4 ppg. The Horned Frogs have already face 3 top 20 offenses this season. They allowed 41 to SMU (4th), 49 to Iowa State (19th) and 27 to Texas (16th). The Sooners have allowed 40 ppg over their last 3 games while TCU has scored at least 23 points in 9 of their 10 games. The over is also 4-0-1 when the Sooners play at home. Final Score Prediction: TCU 31 Oklahoma 41
Bet: Over 65
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: TCU 24 Oklahoma 28
Today’s Record: 6-5
All-Time Record: 19-21 (47.5%)
Jonny the Macedonian 