Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (ATL -3.5, 52) 1 PM
The Bucs are 2-8 ATS this season and have failed to cover in 6 straight games. The Falcons have looked like a completely different team since their bye week, switching some coaching roles and beginning to look like what we all thought they were capable of. They have covered 3 straight and should make it four in a row against this terrible Bucs team. Final Score Prediction: Buccaneers 24 Falcons 31
Bet: ATL -3.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Buccaneers 35 Falcons 22
I am not going to parlay this with my previous bet because the Falcons have allowed 12 points over their last 2 games and could shut down the Bucs like they did the Saints and the Panthers. However, there is some value on the over in this game. The Bucs allow a league worst 31.3 ppg while the Falcons, though improved, still allow 26.2 ppg which ranks 26th. The over has hit in 8 straight Bucs games.
Bet: Over 52
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Buccaneers 35 Falcons 22
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills (BUF -4, 37) 1 PM
The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games including covering 3 straight. They have held opponents to 17.3 ppg over that span which would rank 4th over the entire season. The Bills are 2-3 ATS at home, covering by 1 to New England and covering the 10.5 spread by beating Washington by 15. They failed to cover at home against Cincinnati, Miami and Philadelphia. That’s not too impressive. In what should be a low scoring game, I’ll gladly take the free points. Final Score Prediction: Broncos 20 Bills 17
Bet: DEN +4
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Broncos 3 Bills 20
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (NO -10, 46) 1 PM
The Panthers have lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 15.5 ppg during that span. Kyle Allen has come back to earth, throwing 9 interceptions over that same span. They are 1-3 ATS and 1-3 SU. The Saints are now 8-2 SU this season and have covered in 7 of their last 8 games. Give me the Saints. Final Score Prediction: Panthers 17 Saints 31
Bet: NO -10
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Panthers 31 Saints 34
Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets (OAK -3, 46.5) 1 PM
These are two of the worst secondaries in the league. The Raiders allow 264.1 passing yards per game which ranks 28th while the Jets allow 253.3 passing yards per game which ranks 21st. The Raiders come in on a 3 game winning streak. They had scored 24 or more points in 7 straight games until last week against the Bengals. They won’t do that again against these Jets who are on their own 2 game winning streak. The Jets have allowed at least 22 points in every game this season except their first game against the Bills (17) and in last weekend’s game against the Redskins (17). Meanwhile, the offense has improved recently, scoring 25.3 ppg since being shutout to New England. All in all, I think these offenses are in for a good day. Final Score Prediction: Raiders 27 Jets 24
Bet: Over 46.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Raiders 3 Jets 34
Dallas Cowboys @ New England Patriots (NE -5.5, 44.5) 4:25 PM
Death, taxes and the Patriots covering at home. Since the start of last season, the Pats are 10-3 ATS at home and 7-1 ATS against the NFC. Add in the fact Tom Brady is an angry, angry man these days, I’ll side with the Pats and feel pretty good about it. Final Score Prediction: Cowboys 16 Patriots 26
Bet: NE -5.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Cowboys 9 Patriots 13
Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers (SF -3, 47.5) 8:20 PM
The Packers have covered in 3 of their last 4 games and in both games as underdogs this season; at Chicago and at Dallas. Aaron Rodgers is 8-4-1 after the bye in his career and is 25-22-1 ATS as an away underdog. I’ll take the better quarterback in what should be a good game. Final Score Prediction: Packers 26 49ers 23
Bet: GB +3
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Packers 8 49ers 37
Today’s Record: 1-6
All-Time Record: 12-14 (46.2%)
Below is my complete set of picks for every game on Sunday.
TB 24 ATL 31 — ATL, Over
DEN 20 BUF 17 – DEN, Under
NYG 13 CHI 21 – CHI, Under
PIT 20 CIN 10 – PIT, Under
MIA 16 CLE 23 – MIA, Under
CAR 17 NO 31 – NO, Over
OAK 27 NYJ 24 – NYJ, Over
SEA 20 PHI 26 – PHI, Under
DET 24 WASH 16 – DET, Push
JAC 20 TEN 23 – JAC, Over
DAL 16 NE 26 – NE, Under
GB 26 SF 23 – GB, Over
Jonny the Macedonian 