NBA 12/6

Indiana Pacers @ Detroit Pistons (IND -1.5, 211) 7:10 PM

I won’t give you an over/under pick for a Pacers game until we start getting some right (bet the over tonight). Instead, I like the Pacers to cover tonight. They are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Pistons are just 2-6 SU and ATS vs teams with a winning record (although both wins are against the Pacers). I think this Pacers team is just getting heated up and they go in and beat the Pistons tonight.

Bet: IND -1.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result:

Brooklyn Nets @ Charlotte Hornets (BKN -2.5, 217.5) 7:10 PM
Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat (MIA -9.5, 233) 8:10 PM
Golden State @ Chicago Bulls (CHI -4, 214) 8:10 PM

We’ll do a 3 team round robin here. Essentially 3 parlays of two bet combos. We’ll start with the Nets. They have covered 11 of their last 16 overall and are dominating against teams with losing records going 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. They have won 4 of their last 5 road games and should handle the Hornets.
The Heat should have no problem with the god awful Wizards. They are 5-0 SU after a loss, 8-0 SU at home, 10-1 ATS as a favorite and 6-0 ATS after failing to cover in their previous game. Heat win.
The Bulls are a home favorite tonight against the horrible Warriors. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS as a home favorite. The Bulls lost to the Warriors earlier this season, but they won’t tonight at home.

Bet: Round Robin BKN -2.5/MIA ML/CHI -4
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result:

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee Bucks (MIL -4, 232.5) 8:40 PM

The last time these two went at it, the Bucks won 129-124. The Bucks have won 17 of their last 18 games and 13 in a row. They have won 11 of their last 12 games by 8 points or more. Yowsers! But, the Clippers have been hot as well, winning 9 of their last 10, with 4 of their last 5 wins coming by 15 points or more! I don’t want to bet against either of these teams right now, so instead, we’ll take the over. The Clippers are averaging 122.1 ppg over their last 7 games and have scored 120.8 ppg with Paul George in the lineup. Meanwhile, the Bucks have scored 119 points or more in 7 of their last 9 games in which they are averaging 124.9 ppg. The over/under in the previous matchup was 128 and it hit the over by 25 points. I don’t think this total is high enough with how much these teams have been socring lately. Take the over.

Bet: Over 232.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result:

LA Lakers @ Portland Trailblazers (LAL -4.5, 224.5) 10:40 PM

The Lakers are once again a small favorite against a weaker team despite being a league best 19-3 this season. While Portland has been playing better lately, winning 4 of their last 5 games, they are just 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS vs teams with a winning record this season including going 0-6 SU and ATS in their last 6 games in these instances. This spread is too low, and I’ll happily keep betting on Lebron and the Lakers until Vegas starts giving them some credit.

Bet: LAL -4.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result:

Today’s Record:
All-Time Record: 31-31 (50%)