LA Clippers @ Indiana Pacers (IND -1.5, 217) 7:10 PM
This will be the 7th game Kawhi Leonard misses this season. He must be scared of his former team? The Clippers are 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS without Kawhi, but have won their last 3 straight up. There is more value here on, yep, the over. The Clippers average 118 ppg without Kahwi in the lineup. The over has hit in 3 of the last 4 Pacers home games. So you know what we’re going to do? Let’s go against the instincts and go with the under. The Pacers defense does rank 5th in scoring and while the Clippers have score 121 points or more in 4 of the 6 games without Kawhi, 3 of those came against bottom 5 scoring teams. The other two games they didn’t score 121 points they scored only 96 and 90 against the 9th and 14th ranked scoring defenses.
Bet: Under 217
Confidence: -5 Units
Result: Clippers 110 Pacers 99
Detroit Pistons @ New Orleans Pelicans (NO -1, 226.5) 8 PM
Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls (TOR -5.5, 214.5) 8:10 PM
Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Bucks (MIL -12.5, 219) 8:10 PM
How about our first tease since this blog went up. A Teaser bet allows us to bet on different games and adjust the point spreads, but a lower return on the bets in the event of a win. You can adjust the point spreads by 4, 4.5 or 5 points. I’m going to do 4.5 for the purpose of this bet.
DET +1 -> DET +5.5
The Pistons have won 3 of their last 4, including beating the Pacers by 7 following 2 big wins beating the Spurs by 34 and the Cavs by 33. Their only loss was to the Bucks who have won 14 in a row. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are currently on a 8 game losing streak in which they have lost by an average of 14.9 ppg including coming off a 46 point loss to the Mavericks on Saturday. I like the Pistons outright, but at the very least to keep it within 5 against a team that hasn’t won in nearly 3 weeks.
TOR -5.5 -> TOR -1
The Raptors 7 game winning streak took a screeching halt by losing their next 3 games. However, those loses came against Miami, Houston and Philadelphia. The Raptors are 12-0 against teams below .500 this season. The Bulls are 0-8 against teams above .500 and have lost by an average margin of 12.8 ppg. The Raptors end their losing streak and handle business on the road.
MIL -12.5 -> MIL -8
The Bucks are doing scary things right now. They have won 14 straight and 18 of their last 19 overall. They have beaten 12 of their last 13 opponents by 8 points or more. They have won their last 4 games by an average, yes an average, of 34.3 ppg. Last time these two teams played the Bucks won by 32 and they are even better now. If there is one of these 3 you want to one off (or bet to cover your bet on the teaser) this would be it.
Bet: Teaser- DET +5.5/TOR -1/MIL -8
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Pistons 105 Pelicans 103
Raptors 93 Bulls 92
Magic 101 Bucks 110
Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors (GS -3, 219.5) 10:40 PM
The Warriors average 104.7 ppg this season which ranks 27th. But it’s so much worse than that. If you cut their season in half, they scored 110.3 ppg in their first 12 games, scored more than 105 points in 9 of those 12 games and scored 100 or less in 3 of those games. In the last 12 games, they have scored 99.1 ppg, scored more than 105 points in 2 of those 12 games and scored 100 or less in 8 of those 12 games. The under has hit in 10 of the last 13 games following a Warriors win. Meanwhile, Memphis has struggled offensively recently, scoring 104.8 ppg over their last 5 and were held to 95 the last time these two teams played.
Bet: Under 219.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Grizzlies 110 Warriors 102
Today’s Record: 3-0
All-Time Record: 34-31 (52.3%)
Jonny the Macedonian 