Indianapolis Colts @ New Orleans Saints (NO-9, 47.5) 8:15 PM
I’m going back to the weirdest betting trend we’ve seen in some time. 81% of underdogs of 9-10 points have covered since 2003. That bodes well for the Colts. The Saints have only won 3 games by more than 9 points this season and 7 of their 10 victories have come by one possession. Meanwhile 11 of the 13 Colt’s games have been decided by one possession or less, while all but one has been a 1 possession game at some point in the 4th quarter. With T.Y. a possibility to play, and the likelihood of both teams to utilize their rushing games, maybe this one stays close until the 4th. Final Score Prediction: Colts 23 Saints 29
Bet: IND +9
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Colts 7 Saints 34
Bonus Prop Bet:
Michael Thomas has eclipsed 100 yards in 6 of his last 7 games. He has at least 8 catches in 9 of his last 10 games, and has double digit targets in 8 of his last 9 games. He is the offense, and with Kenny Moore, the Colts top corner questionable to play tonight, expect Michael Thomas to do his usual.
Bet: Michael Thomas over 105.5 receiving yards
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Michael Thomas 128 receiving yards
Today’s Record: 1-1
All-Time Record: 19-26 (42.2%)
Jonny the Macedonian 