Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs (KC -7, 53) 3:05 PM
Who’s stopping Derrick Henry? Oh, right, nobody. He has run for 100+ in 7 of his last 8 games. That includes 188 against the Chiefs in Week 10. He also ran for 149 against the Colts (5th best against the run), 103 against the Raiders (6th best against the run), 182 against the Patriots (8th best against the run) and 195 against the Ravens (7th best against the run). The Chiefs rank 26th against the run so watch out. The dude has 96 carries in his last 3 games.
Derick Henry prop bets:
To Score -200
Over 109.5 Rushing Yards
Over 22.5 Rushing Attempts
Who’s stopping Patrick Mahomes? Oh, right, nobody. In his 3 playoff games, he’s thrown for 894 yards 8 TDs and 0 INTs. If he had not got injured, I think he’d have a case for MVP. 31 TD to 5 INTs in just 14 games this season. Side note…future bet (which isn’t actually available) Mahomes “shatters” the TD passing record. He threw for his second most passing yards in a game in his career the last time these two teams met with 446 yards, 3 TDs and 0 Ints.
Patrick Mahomes prop bets:
Over 302.5 Passing Yards
Over 23.5 Completions
Ok, so obviously we’re also taking the over. No one will stop anyone in this matchup. Chiefs are 26th against the run and the Titans are 21st against the pass. Advantage points!
Final Score Prediction: Titans 28 Chiefs 38
Bet: Over 53
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Titans 24 Chiefs 35
*Bonus Prop Bet:
The Titans have made 1 field over their last 10 games. Read that again. Don’t believe me? Go look, I’ll wait……
Yeah! 1 field goal in 10 games!! You think they settle for field goals against the Chiefs?! They are #1 in redzone TD% because they have Hulk at running back and Steve Rogers pre Captain America as their kicker. Meanwhile, the Chiefs will be punching in their touchdowns as the Titans defense ranks 28th in opposing team’s redzone TD%.
Bet: Under 3.5 Field Goals
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: 1 Field Goal
Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers (SF -7.5. 46.5) 6:40 PM
Do I actually feel bad for the Packers? Probably not…but I’ve heard things like “worst 13-3 team ever,” and “no shot against the Niners.” Yet, they are 13-3 playing the Niners in the NFC Championship game. I’d take ugly results than no results at all and this team defines that. However, people will look to that 37-8 beat down the last time these two played. Still, Rodgers is the best quarterback on the field and Garoppolo didn’t look that great against Minnesota. I think we see a heavy dose of both running attacks so I will lean the under as well. Final Score Prediction: Packers 20 49ers 23
Bet: Under 46.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Packers 20 49ers 37
Bet: GB +7.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Packers 20 49ers 37
*Bonus Prop Bets:
Garoppolo Under 249.5 Passing Yards
Tevin Coleman Over 40.5 Rushing Yards
Jimmy Graham Under 2.5 Receptions
49ers Over 3.5 Sacks
Playoff Record: 4-8
All-Time Record: 23-35 (39.7%)