NCAA Basketball 2/19

Auburn @ Georgia (AUB -3.5, 149.5) 7 PM

Auburn is a small favorite on the road here against a far lesser talented team in large part because they just lost by 12 on the road as a 3.5 point favorite to a far lesser talented Missouri team. However, they had won their previous 7 games before that loss. The Bulldogs have lost 11 of their last 13 games which includes a 22 point loss the last time they played Auburn. The Tigers rank 5th in offensive rebounds per game while the Bulldogs rank 323rd in offensive rebounds allowed per game. The Bulldogs also shoot just 29.9% from 3 which ranks 318th. This is just a mismatch all around and I see Auburn covering this way too low of a spread.

Bet: AUB -3.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result:

Villanova @ DePaul (NOVA  -4.5, 140.5) 9 PM

The Wildcats skidded by losing 3 close games in a row to begin the month. However, they were able to prevail against Marquette followed u by a 20 point thumping against in state rival Temple on Sunday. They are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 road games.  DePaul has lost 11 of their last 12 games in which they have covered just 4 times. They are coming off a 29 point blowout loss at Creighton and have lost 5 of their last 6 home games by an average margin of defeat of 9 points per loss. Even if DePaul were to somehow get an early lead, they rank 330th in free throw percentage and 305th in turnovers per game. On the other side, Villanova ranks 13th in free throw percentage and 11th in turnovers per game. Similar to the game above, Villanova is just too far superior that even being on the road, they should dominate.

Bet: NOVA -4.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result:

Good luck, let’s win some money $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

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