I like 8 of the 9 favorites on the NBA slate tonight. Be advised, I don’t feel great about some of these, but we go where the money takes us. Happy Betting!!!
Cleveland @ Washington (-6)
The Wizards have covered 5 of their last 7 games and now host a Cavs team that’s lost 6 games by double digits since January 20th, including a 12-point loss against the Wizards in Cleveland. The Wizards aren’t a great team, but with Bradley Beal, they’re at least 6 points better than the Cavs.
Dallas (-4.5) @ Orlando
The Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, which include 4 games without Luka (3-1 ATS on the road). He returned and the put a beat down on Sacramento by 19 points. Now they travel to Mickey’s World where the Magic have not been so magical lately. There are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 overall.
Indiana (-6.5) @ New York
It usually isn’t a good idea to bet on the Knicks, but didn’t they just beat the Pacers by 7 on the road a few weeks ago? The Pacers only won by 1 the last time these two played at MSG. The Knicks have covered in 9 of their last 13 games overall. However, the Knicks are coming off an 18-point loss at home to Washington. Just stay away from this game all together, but if you got to, give some love to the Cers.
Phoenix @ Toronto (-8)
The following all occurred in an 8 day span between Feb 2-10 for the Suns. L @ Milwaukee by 21, L @ Brooklyn by 22, W at Houston by 36, L @ LA Lakers by 25. The Raptors snapped a 15 game winning streak in their last game before the break in Brooklyn. During the winning streak, they were 10-5 ATS and won 7 games by double digits. If I could bet a push here, I might. Just not sure, so I just side with the home team. Another stay away game if you ask me.
Denver (+1) @ Oklahoma City
The Nuggets are 14-8 ATS in 2020 and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall. They won 5 of their last 7 games outright as a road underdog. The Thunder have covered just once in their last five times at home. The Nuggets won by 8 the last time they visited the Thunder, and I think they win again tonight.
Boston (-7.5) @ Minnesota
The Celtics are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. The Timberwolves are a little worse, going 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games. However, they have lost by exactly 7 points in 6 of those 16 games (37.5% of the time). I tend to side with the Celtics but might want to pay for the extra half point. Maybe a better bet while we’re here…Celtics to win the Eastern Conference at +700…just a thought
San Antonio @ Utah (-7)
The Spurs will play their 7th straight road game. When I get to Texas tomorrow, I will have spent the same number of days in that state as the Spurs. Yikes! They are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on their current road trip including 2 20+ point losses. The Jazz go on some weird streaks of covering/not covering. First 28 games: 11-17 ATS; Next 17 games 14-3 ATS; Next 7 games 0-7 ATS. But now they have covered in each of their last 3 games! Weird…go with the Jazz?
New Orleans (-5.5) @ Portland
The Pelicans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1 ATS as a road favorite this season. These two teams faced off 10 days ago, when the Trailblazers traveled to New Orleans and got beat by 21. In fact the Trailblazers are 0-3 SU and ATS against the Pelicans this season and have lost every game by a least 8 points. Zion puts up 30 (prop at 22.5) and the Pelicans get the W.
Memphis @ LA Lakers (-10.5)
The Grizzlies are 8-5 SU in their last 13 games. In those 5 losses, they have lost by 10, 24, 28, 12 and 4. Essentially, if they lose, they lose big. Lakers are an even 5-5 ATS at home or as a favorite of more than 10 in their last 10 games in those situations. I’ll side with the Lakers in this one then to blow out the Griz.
***Bonus Player Props:
Gordon Heyward Over 6.5 Rebounds
The Timberwolves are missing, either from trade or injury, 5 of their top 6 rebounders on the year! Heyward has 7+ rebounds in 8 straight games and has averaged 8.9 rebounds during that stretch.
Zion Williamson Over 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Like I said before, Zion’s putting up 30 points so this should be an easy one. He has at least 20 points in 8 of his 10 games, at least 6 rebounds in 9 of his 10 games and at least 2 assists in 5 of his 10 games. At a minimum that puts him at 28. He’s being more and more involved as the season goes on and he’s one of their best players. In a game that has a 238.5 total, the highest on the slate, this should be an easy hit for the young star.
Victor Oladipo Over 15.5 Points
No, I don’t like this one, but I know you want a Pacer’s prop. If this hits, it would be his season high. I think they turn him loose post all-star break and I mean, it is the Knicks. He’s scored 13, 15, 12, and 13 without playing 30 minutes in his last 4 game games.
Jonny the Macedonian 