Minnesota Timberwolves (+7.5) @ Orlando Magic
The Timberwolves had lost 18 of 19 games before going into Miami and winning on Wednesday. Their other win during that stretch was a 27 point win against the Clippers; go figure. However, in their last 20 games, they have only played 5 teams with a losing record. Although they were 0-5 SU and ATS, the margin of loss in those games were, 7, 4, 4, 7 and 7. The Magic have won 4 of 5, but are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. I don’t think either of these teams are good enough to be favored by this much, even at home. Take the Wolves.
Brooklyn Nets (-3) @ Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks defense is so bad. They have allowed 126.7 ppg over their last 7 games. These teams have already played 3 times, with the Nets going 3-0 SU and ATS with wins by 12, 10 and 22. Despite their losing record, the Nets still hold the 7 seed in the East and want this one more.
Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors (-14)
The Hornets have won 4 of 6 games. However, their two losses are by 29 at home to Brooklyn and by 39 at Indiana. In fact, their last 10 losses are by 12+ points with an average margin of loss of 19.9 points per loss in those 10 games. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with winning records. Oh, and the Raptors are good.
Dallas Mavericks (ML) @ Miami Heat
Luka is questionable for this game, but I think I still like the Mavericks. The Heat have just not been the same team lately. They are just 2-7 SU and ATS in their last 9 games, with their only two wins against the Warriors and the Cavs. The only two games against teams with winning records during this stretch are against the Clippers (L by 17) and the Jazz (L by 15). That means they were 2-5 against teams with losing records. Either way you look at it, that sucks.
Sacramento Kings (+3.5) @ Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight games since returning from the all-star break, all on the road. They were 0-4 ATS and the margin of loss kept increasing: 4, 12, 27, and 28. Now the Kings come to Memphis with a 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games including covering in 4 straight and 6 of 8 on the road. Not my favorite bet, but until Memphis turns things around, I’ll fade.
Oklahoma City Thunder (+10.5) @ Milwaukee Bucks
Should we just bet the Bucks like we always do and move on? Ahhh, not so fast. The Thunder are 13-1 SU and ATS in their last 14 road games. The Bucks are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 home games. You know, the Thunder at +425 ML sounds kind of intriguing, so I’ll gladly take the double digit points here.
Cleveland Cavaliers (+12.5) @ New Orleans Pelicans
The Pelicans are 6-0 SU and ATS against teams with losing records since Zion’s debut with an average margin of victory 16 points per win, including a 14 point win in Cleveland on January 28th. However, the Cavs have won 4 of their last 5 and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. Wish this spread was a little lower, but seems a bit high.
Detroit Pistons (+8.5) @ Phoenix Suns
The Pistons have lost 7 straight, but are 3-4 ATS in those losses. Their last win came on February 5th at home to, oh hey, the Suns. The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. They are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and are now favored by 8.5? No way. Give me the Pistons despite how bad they are.
Washington Wizards (+10.5) @ Utah Jazz
The Jazz are 0-4 SU and ATS since returning from the break and are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are 3-5 ATS as a double digit favorite and have failed to cover in this situation in 3 straight. The Wizards are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games and think with the style the Jazz have been playing, I’ll take the points.
Denver Nuggets (+6) @ LA Clippers
This is only the second time in 2020 the Clippers have hosted a team with a winning record. They were able to beat the struggling Heat by 17 in that game. The last time before that was 13 point loss to Utah on December 28th. Dating back to mid November, the Clippers are just 1-5 ATS at home against a team with a winning record. The Nuggets have won 10 of 14 and think they can keep this one close.
Jonny the Macedonian 