So if golf is the only thing we have this weekend, we’ll want to make some bets on it (NASCAR too). Below are my 5 favorite value plays for the weekend. I definitely like to get in some winner bets and round leader bets with the long odds. Some of the guys at the top that I like this weekend include:
*Jon Rahm (3 top 15’s in last 4 tournaments, finished 5th last year) +1000
*Justin Thomas (9 of 16 tournaments this season he’s finished top 10, won this tournament last year ) +1200
*Bryson DeChambeau (5 top 10’s last 8 tournaments) +1300.
Digging a little deeper, we definitely have some value. Reminder, there is no cut this weekend and only 69 players are in the tournament.
*I used DraftKings odds here. Check FanDuel for better odds.
#5 – Dylan Frittelli +11000
This one is digging deep. He finished T52 in last year’s tournament. He’s either going to be on or off. He’s finished 33rd or better in 5 of his last 8 tournament, while being cut in the other 3. He’s finished in the top 25 in 3 of his last 5, and has 3 top 10 finishes this season. In a tournament with this small of a field and no cut, it plays well into his game. A Top 20 bet at +275 looks good, but a Top 30, which essentially is top half of the field at +125 is solid bet too.
Bet: Top 30 +125
#4 – Alex Noren +7000
Noren has been hot lately, scoring top 10 finishes in 3 of his last 4 events. Now, with a smaller field, he may just squeak out a win here. His last 4 finishes were 3, 9, 22 and 8th last weekend. Top 20 at +175 is solid while a Top 10 at +500 is a juicy payout too.
Bet: Top 20 +175
#3 – Billy Horschel +5000
Horschel had 4 out of 5 tournaments in the top 25 before getting cut last weekend. 6 of his 20 tournaments this season has resulted in top 10 finishes. Two weekends off of a -20 at Wyndham, I like Horschel’s chances at a bounce back this weekend.
Bet: Top 20 +175
#2 – Scottie Scheffler +3000
These next two guys are my dudes this weekend! Scottie struggled out of the gate after the restart, finishing 55th and getting cut 3 times. But the dude is back! The last 4 tournaments, he has improved his position each time out, with finishes of 22nd, 15th, 4th and 4th last weekend. His 59 shot round last weekend just shows he can play with the best of them and is at the top of his game right now. Leader after 1 +2800, Top 10 +275, Top 5 +550, fire them all up. But for a more conservative play, he’ll make the Top 20.
Bet: Top 20 +110
#1 – Daniel Berger +1700
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
That’s what this guy is. He’s played in 6 tournaments since CORONA took over our lives. He did get CUT once, but don’t let that scare you. In the other 5 tournaments, he’s got 4 top 3 finishes and one 13th place finish. And it’s not like he was playing badly before COVID took over. No, he finished with top 10 finishes in his last 3 tournaments before stoppage of play. So you add it all up, he’s got 7 top 10 finishes in his last 9 tournaments and 6 of those 7 top 10 finishes were actually top 5 finishes. Winner this weekend, yep. Top 5 +400, yep. Top 10 +200, you bet. Lock of the weekend: Top 20 -120
Bet: Top 20 -120
Jonny the Macedonian 