College Basketball 11/12

Creighton @ Michigan (MICH -5.5, 153.5)

Dating back to last season, the Wolverines have the 3rd ranked defense based on efficiency in the entire country. While their defense does not give up any easy buckets, don’t expect the Wolverines offense to either. In the same span, the Wolverines rank 307th in free throw attempts while the Bluejays ranks 28th in free throw attempts allowed. The last 5 Creighton games have gone under the total as well as their last 6 on the road. The total has gone under in 5 of Michigan’s last 7 games.

Bet: Under 153.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Creighton 69 Michigan 79

Missouri @ Xavier (XAV -5.5, 135.5) 7 PM
East Carolina @ App State (APPST -6, 141.5) 7 PM
Auburn @ South Alabama (AUB -7.5, 144.5) 8 PM

The Musketeers are 30-6 at home dating back to 2017 and I like them to get just enough stops to get another home win here. East Carolina has 11 new players on their team this year, including 6 transfers so I think their rebuild mode prevents them from getting an early, tough road win. Watch out for South Alabama’s Josh Ajayi who put up 30 on 10 for 14 shooting in their 75-69 win against Southern Mississippi on Saturday. Even if he were to replicate those numbers, which I think will be tough against a much more experienced and physical Auburn team, I still believe the Tigers are just too much for the Jaguars tonight.

Bet: XAV ML/APPST ML/AUB ML
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Missouri 58 Xaviers 63 OT, East Carolina 62 App State 68, Auburn 70 South Alabama 69

UT Arlington @ Nevada (NEV -5.5, 145.5) 10 PM

I don’t see the Mavericks being able to score much on the Wolfpack. Dating back to last season, the Mavericks are one of the worst teams in the country in effective field goal percentage that ranks 312th in the country. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack bring the 52nd ranked defense in effective field goal percentage allowed. Add in the Wolfpack are 59-6 at home since 2015, including 29-1 in the last 2 seasons, the home team should roll tonight.

Bet: NEV -5.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: UT Arlington 73 Nevada 80

Today’s Record: 3-0
All-Time Record: 9-1