Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (HOU -3.5, 46) 8:20 PM
*T.Y. Hilton is questionable. He participated in full during Wednesday’s practice. Will be evaluated during warm ups. UPDATE: T.Y. Hilton is active
*T.Y. Hilton is looking like he will return to the Colts lineup today. Although they are 6-4 on the season, they are 5-1 when Hilton suits up including 5 straight wins. With Brissett healthy, they are 5-2 on the season. The question now stands, how will this team fare with Marlon Mack out. However, I don’t think that will impact this game so much. Mack has faced the Texans 5 times in his career and averages 3.9 ypc and 56.4 ypg. The Colts are 5-0 in those games. Brissett plays extraordinarily well against these Texans. He is 3-0 against them, has thrown 7 TD and 0 INT and has only taken 1 sack. The Colts have won 5 of the last 6 against the Texans, with the only loss being a 3 point overtime loss in which the Colts actually led in overtime and went for it on 4th down in their own territory with the game tied. The Texans are 1-3 ATS at home this season and have lost 5 of the last 6 games at home vs the Colts. Take the Colts moneyline if you trust Adam Vinatieri…ugh! Final Score Prediction: Colts 27 Texans 24
Bet: Colts +3.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Colts 17 Texans 20
Bonus Prop Bets:
One of the reasons I like the Colts to cover the spread is because I think they will get off to a better start than the Texans. The Texans are averaging 2.3 points in the first quarter this year which ranks 31st with only the Redskins who are worse (Perspective: Bears are 30th with 2.4 so the Texans are basically a Trubisky led offense in the first quarter). In 6 of Brissett’s last 7 starts this season, the Colts have scored at least one first quarter touchdown. I like the plus odds and the trends.
Bet: IND Colts Tie No Bet – 1st Quarter +132
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: 0-0
T.Y. Hilton averages 101.3 yards per game against the Texans including 10 TD in 15 games. At +180 to score at any point during this game against this awful and banged up Texans secondary that has allowed 14 passing touchdowns this year which is 6th worst in the league is a solid prop for tonight.
Bet: T.Y. Hilton to score +180
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: T.Y. Hilton 0 TDs
Today’s Record: 1-1-1
All-Time Record: 11-8 (57.9%)
Jonny the Macedonian 