NBA 11/22

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Dallas Mavericks (DAL -10, 221.5) 8:40 PM

The Cavs are playing an opponent for the second time for the fourth time this month. The Mavericks won the first meeting 131-111. They are 1-2 in the first meeting against the other three teams (Knicks, 76ers and Heat) and are 0-3 in the rematch. While the Cavs scored no more or no less than 3 points from the first meeting to the rematch, their opponents all scored more than 16 points from the first meeting to the rematch. Meanwhile the O/U in the first matchup 0-3 while the rematch it was 2-1. The If these trends continue, the Mavs could win somewhere in the area of 147-111. That probably won’t happen, but I’ll give 10 points and expect this one to be high scoring.

Bet: DAL -10/Over 221.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Cavs 101 Mavericks 143

Boston Celtics @ Denver Nuggets (DEN -5,206.5) 9:10 PM

The Celtics have allowed 100 points or less during regulation in four straight games allowing 94.8 ppg while their offense is only scoring 100 ppg during that span. Meanwhile the Nuggets have held 6 of their last 8 opponents to 100 points or less and only allow 102.3 ppg on the season which ranks 3rd. The under has hit in 4 straight Celtics games and in 6 of the last 8 Nuggets games. I don’t see either team getting to 100 points tonight, so I like the under play here.

Bet: Under 206.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Celtics 92 Nuggets 96

Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clippers (LAC -5, 229) 10:40 PM

We have made good money cashing in on the under with these two teams. In 9 of the last 11 Rockets games, the under has cashed in while 9 of the last Clippers games have hit the under as well. The total was set at 233 the last time these two played on November 13th and the Rockets won 102-93 and yet the total is similar to the first time they played. If anything, Paul George’s return only adds another defensive weapon to help slow down James Harden who had 47 points in that win.

Bet: Under 229
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Rockets 119 Clippers 122

Today’s Record: 3-1
All-Time Record: 22-20 (52.4%)