Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions (CHI -5.5, 37) 12:30 PM
David Blough gets the start on Thanksgiving. He threw for 271 yards, 2TDs and 2 INTs in the preseason and now gets to play Khalil Mack and this Bears defense. The Bears beat Driskell a few weeks back by 7 and should do worse damage here. I can’t imagine the Lions getting too many points today and even a lack luster Bears offense should be able to score enough to cover this spread if their defense holds up. I shy away from the under because the Bears could be working with a lot of short fields off turnovers, one’s that could even go for scores. Final Score Prediction: Bears 24 Lions 9
Bet: CHI -5.5
Confidence: Thanksgiving side dish (Can’t have Thanksgiving without it)
Result: Bears 24 Lions 20
Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys (DAL -6.5, 47) 4:30 PM
The Cowboys have struggled against teams with winning records this year, going 0-4 in those games. While there is value on the Bills, the better value is on the under. The Bill ranks 3rd in the league with 15.7 ppg allowed including allowing 12.8 ppg over their last 4 games. The especially keep it low scoring on the road where the under has hit in 6 of their last 7 road games. Meanwhile the Cowboys hold opponents to 19.1 ppg which ranks 7th. Zeke should be the focus with the Bills secondary as its strength and Amari Cooper still banged up. Final Score Prediction: Bills 16 Cowboys 23
Bet: Under 47
Confidence: The entire turkey!
Result: Bills 26 Cowboys 15
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons (NO -6.5, 48) 8:20 PM
I actually placed a three team parlay on CHI/DAL/NO because of Draftking’s special. But I also want to give a full game bet on the nightcap. The Saints defense struggled last week allowing 31 points to the Panthers. But since week 3, everytime the Saints defense allowed 24 points or more the previous week, they have held the next opponent to 17 points or less including 10 points or less in 3 of those 4 games. The Falcons offense has struggled recently especially in the redzone where they have only scored 5 touchdowns in their previous 14 trips. I think the Saints grab a lead and run to keep this low scoring. Final Score Prediction: Saints 27 Falcons 17
Bet: Under 48 (Could add Saints ML)
Confidence: Pumpkin Pie (You don’t need it, but it sure will taste good)
Result: Saints 26 Falcons 18
Today’s Record: 2-1
All-Time Record: 14-16 (46.7%)
Jonny the Macedonian 