Orlando Magic @ Washington Wizards (WAS -2, 227.5) 7:10 PM
The last time these two teams played, the Magic came away with a 125-121 win in Orlando, their highest point total in any game this season. The Magic have only scored 98.3 ppg since then. Wizards games this season are usually high scoring. The Wizards are 3rd in the league in ppg and last in opponents ppg. The over has hit in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 road games and is 4-2-1 after a Magic SU win.
I also see the Wizards winning this one. The Magic are 0-7 ATS after a straight up win and 3-10 ATS on equal days rest.
Bet: WAS -2 & Over 227.5
Confidence: 1 Unit & 2 Units
Result: Magic 127 Wizards 120
Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors (TOR -5, 212.5) 7:40 PM
The Raptors have been a covering machine in these situations this season. They are 11-0 ATS with one days rest, 9-0 ATS with equal days rest, 8-1 ATS at home and 10-2 ATS as a favorite. I think the public has yet to become believers in a team that is missing Kawhi Leonard (with the Clippers) and Kyle Lowry (injury) not playing for this team. Serge Ibaka was out since November 8th, but returned Sunday to the lineup, only to make this team even better. While the Heat have been overachievers themselves, they are a different team at home than on the road. They are 8-0 SU and 8-0 ATS at home and 6-5 SU and 5-5-1 ATS on the road including 2-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Bet: TOR -5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Heat 121 Raptors 110 OT
Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans (DAL -4, 233) 7:40 PM
The Pelicans have been strong as a home underdog this season, going 4-1 ATS in those situations. However, two of those covers came while they were in the midst of a 5 wins out of 7 stretch earlier this season. They are currently on a 5 game losing streak and the red hot Mavericks come to town. The Mavericks are 7-1 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. They have covered the number by 19 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games. Luka Donic is on fire right now and I see that continuing tonight. Mavs big.
Bet: DAL -4
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Mavericks 118 Pelicans 97
Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans (DAL -4, 233) 7:40 PM
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs (HOU -6.5, 235) 8:45 PM
Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets (DEN -2.5, 207.5) 9:10 PM
Portland Trailblazers @ Los Angeles Clippers (LAC -9.5, 231.5) 10:10 PM
For our parlay tonight, we’re going to do something a little different. This is called a 2 pick Round Robin Parlay. Essentially we will be taking every duo combination on the MLs we like. There will be 6 parlays we will be making: DAL/HOU, DAL/LAL, DAL/LAC, HOU/LAL, HOU/LAC, LAL/LAC (Don’t worry, you select it the same as a regular parlay but switch to Round Robins and put your wager for EACH parlay in the 2 pick Round Robin slot. EX. $1 on each parlay would be a $6 bet) If one of our 4 teams loses, we still receive a 50% win rate on our parlays. If two of our teams lose, we still get a 16.7% win rate, and so on. Consult with your betting expert for additional questions.
We feel so good about the Mavericks we’ll include them in a parlay for the night. How about pairing a Luka Donic with a James Harden? The Rockets are 10-2 following up a win and 4-0 with rest advantage. Now they get the Spurs that just lost by 34 to the Pistons while Harden is coming off a 60 point performance in 3 quarters no less. The Spurs are 1-8 this season as an underdog and I don’t see them upsetting Harden and the Rockets tonight. The Lakers and Nuggets are both coming off loses in their previous games. However, the Lakers are 2-0 off a loss and 8-1 as the road team. The only other time Lebron and the Lakers were underdogs they covered the 1 point spread by beating the Mavericks outright by 9. The Nuggets are just 2-4 ATS as favorites of 4 points or less. Finally, we’ll take the Clippers, winners of 8 of their last 9 games and 8 straight home wins to beat the Trailblazers, who have lost 7 of their last 9 road games and just 1-6 against teams with a winning record.
Bet: 2 pick Round Robin DAL ML/HOU ML/LAL ML/LAC ML
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Mavericks 118 Pelicans 97
Rockets 133 Spurs 135 OT
Lakers 105 Nuggets 96
Trailblazers 97 Clippers 117
Today’s Record: 2-2
All-Time Record: 30-28 (51.7%)
Jonny the Macedonian 