Butler @ Ole Miss (OLEM -1, 130) 7 PM
I think the wrong team is favored here. The Rebels have lost 2 of their last 3 games and trailed by 16 in at the half in the one game they did win. They have trailed by 16 points or more in each of those 3 games. Meanwhile the Bulldogs are 7-0 and haven’t trailed by more than 7 points in any game this season. They hold teams to 55.1 ppg which ranks 9th while they outshoot the rebels 49.1% to 42.3 %. Look for the Bulldogs to handle business on the road.
Bet: BUT +1
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Butler 67 Ole Miss 58
Florida State @ Indiana (IU -1.5, 137) 9 PM
Both these teams come into this one on 7 game winning streaks. It’s a battle of offense vs. defense. Indiana has scored 108.1 points per 100 possessions (31st) while the Seminoles have held opponents to just 85.1 points per 100 possessions (3rd). Sure, Florida State has played a much tougher schedule, beating then ranked 6th Florida and then ranked 17th Tennessee and then beating Purdue to capture the Emerald Coast Classic Championship. However, all of those games were played in the state of Florida. A trip to Assembly Hall in early December for a warm weather team, facing off against the 4th highest scoring team in the country with the Big Ten Freshman of the Week on their side. Go Hooisers!
Bet: IU -1.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Florida State 64 Indiana 80
Duke @ Michigan State (MSU -6.5, 147) 9:30 PM
I think Vegas is anticipating the loss of Cassius Stanley to impact this team greatly and fair enough. He’s second on the team in points, rebounds, steals, blocks and 3 point percentage. They really haven’t looked impressive their last two games, obviously the big loss to Stephen F Austin and grinding through Winthrop. But I think they play up to their competition tonight and the Spartans haven’t been too impressive either. They are just 2-5 ATS and their only two covers came at 38+ point favorites. So while they can beat up on the nobodies, they struggle against legitimate competition. I’ll take the free points in what could be a toss up game.
Bet: Duke +6.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Duke 87 Michigan State 75
Today’s Record: 3-0
All-Time Record: 16-5 (76.2%)
Jonny the Macedonian 