Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks (BKN -3, 229) 7:40 PM
With this total set at 229, we can assume at least one team will need to score at least 115 (at the minimum). The Nets have scored 115+ just once in their last 8 games averaging 105.3 ppg over that span. Defensively, they have allowed 115+ in 2 of their last 8 games allowing an average of 105.9 ppg over that span. The under has hit in 6 of those 8 games. The over hit in 10 straight Atlanta Hawks games over the span of a month. However, the under has hit in 3 of their last 4 games, with the average margin from the total going under by 27.5 ppg. That’s because they are struggling to score, averaging only 102.8 ppg over their last 4 games.
Bet: Under 229
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Nets 130 Hawks 118
Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (IND -1, 209.5) 8:10 PM
The over has hit in 5 of the last 6 games for the Pacers by an average margin above the total of 17.2 ppg. The total has been set at 210 or less in 5 Pacer games this season, and all 5 hit the over by an average margin of 15.2 ppg. The over has hit in 4 of the last 5 Thunder home games and the over has hit in 2 of the 3 games the Thunder total has been set at 210 or lower. Take advantage of the low total.
Bet: Over 209.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Pacers 107 Thunder 100
Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (IND -1, 209.5) 8:10 PM
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Dallas Mavericks (DAL -4.5, 230.5) 8:40 PM
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz (UTA -2.5, 212.5) 9:10 PM
There is an odds boost for Draftkings tonight for a 3 team parlay on the Pacers, Mavericks and Lakers. Although there are reasons to be wary, I think it might be worth it. Let’s take a look.
The Thunder are just 2-10 as an underdog this season. The Thunder are 8-11 this season, but 3 of those wins are against Golden State and 3 of those wins, including in their last 2 games, are against New Orleans. They are just 2-11 against the rest of the league. The Pacers have won 10 of 13 including 6 of their last 7 and beat this Thunder team by 26 the last time they played.
The Timberwolves have actually been a road warrior this year, going 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. However, the Mavericks don’t care. They have become a machine in the west, going 8-1 SU and ATS in their last 9 games. Although the Mavericks are playing the back half of a back to back, the Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS with a rest advantage while the Mavs are 2-0 with a rest disadvantage. This is only the Mavericks 2nd back-to-back this season. In the second game of the back to back the first time, the Mavericks had no problem beating the Grizzlies by 16.
Yet again we get the Lakers at plus money. This is probably because they are coming off a back to back as well. However, the Lakers are 5-0 SU with a rest disadvantage and 2-0 SU with no days off. While Utah is 8-1 SU at home this season, the Lakers have won 9 straight road games. The Jazz have lost 4 of their last 5 overall while the Lakers haven’t lost 4 games all season.
Bet: IND ML/DAL ML/LAL ML
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Pacers 107 Thunder 100
Timberwolves 114 Mavericks 121
Lakers 121 Jazz 96
Today’s Record: 1-2
All-Time Record: 31-30 (50.8%)
Jonny the Macedonian 