Texas Tech @ Louisville (LOU -6, 125.5) 7 PM
This Texas Tech team is not the same team that made it to the final four last season. They started off that way, winning each of their first 5 games against weak opponents by at least 15 points. But since their hot start, they have lose three in a row against Iowa, Creighton and DePaul. Now, the Red Raiders get a matchup on the road against the number 1 team in the country. The Red Raiders are going to need to improve their shooting, 21.9 % Effective FG % (90th) and 35.2% Three Point % (93rd) if they have any chance in this one. Louisville’s defense allows 57.6 ppg (14th) allows 40.6% effective FG% (3rd) and allow only 27.3% from three (22nd). Meanwhile, their offense is shooting 49.6% from the field (14th) and scoring 77.1 ppg (54th). I like the Cardinals to win big.
Bet: LOU -6
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Texas Tech 70 Louisville 57
Indiana vs UConn (IU -1.5, 139.5) 9 PM
Initially, the over looked like a good play here. IU scores 83.2 ppg which ranks 9th while Connecticut scores 76.9 ppg which ranks 60th. Both teams allow around 65 points per game against much worse offenses, so I find it realistic for both teams to score 70. But there are some key areas where IU has advantages tonight. The Hooisers are shooting 50.8% from the field (6th) while the Huskies are only shooting 41.5% (224th). The Hoosiers rank 34th in offensive rebounds while the Huskies rank 268th in defensive rebounds. I expect a lot of second chance points and the Hoosiers to do what they do best, which is get to the free throw line. Seriously, they rank #1 in both free throw attempts and free throws made. Look for the Hoosiers to play sound basketball and get the W tonight.
Bet: IU -1.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Indiana 57 UConn 54
Today’s Record: 1-1
All-Time Record: 23-14 (62.2%)
Jonny the Macedonian 