Boston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors (BOS -2.5, 213.5) 12:10 PM
The Raptors have lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with winning records. The Heat have held 5 of their last 8 opponents under 100 points and have allowed an average of 100.3 ppg over that span. The Celtics will shut down the Raptors to start off our Christmas slate.
Bet: BOS -2.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Celtics 118 Raptors 102
Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers (PHI -0.5, 222.5) 2:40 PM
The 76ers allow 104.9 ppg which ranks 3rd in the league. However, they allowed 108 points or more in 7 straight games and now play the best offense in the league. Give me the Bucks as underdogs all day.
Bet: MIL +0.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Bucks 109 76ers 121
Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors (HOU -10, 228.5) 5:10 PM
The Rockets have won 6 of their last 7 games and have covered in 3 straight. However, the Rockets are just 2-6 ATS as double digit favorites. As bad as the Warriors have been, they are 5-3 ATS as double digit underdogs. The Warriors have won 2 in a row for the first time all season. I’m still not backing this Warriors team. Instead I’ll take the over, because the Rockets have scored 120 ppg over their last 6 games and James Harden should have a Christmas day feast.
Bet: Over 228.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Rockets 104 Warriors 116
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers (LAC -1.5, 223.5) 8:10 PM
The Lakers started 24-3, but have lost 3 straight. Meanwhile the Clippers have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The Clippers are 8-1 SU after a straight up loss. The Lakers have given up 120 points or more in 3 games this season, including giving up 128 to Denver in their last game. In their previous 2 matchups following this performance, they allowed 108 and 87. I think they sure up their defense I try to grind out a low scoring, close game. The offense has only scored 103.3 ppg over their last 6 games.
Bet: Under 223.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Clipper 111 Lakers 106
New Orleans Pelicans @ Denver Nuggets (DEN -9.5, 219.5) 10:40 PM
The Nuggets have won 7 in a row by an average margin of victory of 10.4. While the Pelicans have won 2 of their last 3 games, they lost 13 in a row prior to that. This team still lost to the Warriors 5 days ago and now get a hot Nuggets team. I’ll take the home team to pound the Pelicans.
Bet: DEN -9.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Pelicans 112 Nuggets 100
Today’s Record: 2-3
All-Time Record: 41-40 (50.6%)
Jonny the Macedonian 