Clemson Tigers vs LSU Tigers (LSU -5, 67) 8 PM
There are a million reasons to like the Tigers tonight. In fact, that’s who I would bet on.
Reasons to bet Clemson: 14-0. Average margin of victory 31.3 points per win. 11-3 ATS and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. #4 in scoring offense. #1 in scoring defense. #15 on 3rd down offense. #13 on 3rd down defense. #7 in turnover margin. Trevor Lawrence has won 25 straight games and hasn’t lost since high school. He hasn’t thrown an interception in 7 straight games. His 2 TD passes against Ohio State was his lowest since September. The defense has not allowed more than 23 points in any game this season. Dating back to September of 2018, the defense has allowed 30+ points just once.
Reasons to bet LSU: 14-0. Average margin of victory 27.2 points per win. 6-2 ATS against teams with winning records. #1 in scoring offense. #4 on 3rd down offense. #8 on 3rd down defense. #1 in completion percentage. They just beat the #5 ranked team by 27 and the #4 ranked team by 35. Joe Burrow is an unstoppable monster who has thrown for at least 320 yards and 3 TDs in all but 2 games this season. His lowest completion percentage in a game this season is 71.1%. He threw for 5 TDs and 344 yards in that game. Oh, and they are playing in their backyard in New Orleans.
I think I have to lean with Coach O and Bengal’s Burrow in this one. Something is special about that team, and I just think they have a swagger that can’t be stopped right now.
Both these defenses have played great lately, but neither team has played an opposing offense like they will see tonight. LSU has 46 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games while Clemson has scored 52 or more points in 5 of their last 7 games.
Final Score Prediction: Clemson Tigers 31 LSU Tigers 45
Bet: LSU -5
Over 67
Confidence: 2 Units
Result:
*Bonus Prop Bets:
These quarterbacks will display greatness tonight. Bet Over 6.5 passing TD combined at an odds boost of +140. Trever Lawrence’s TD total at 2.5 is too low. Last week, he broke a streak of 8 straight games with 3 TDs. Burrow’s attempts total is at 39.5, and I think this is too high. Clemson can control clock with Etienne and Burrow’s only thrown 40 plus passes twice this season.
Bets: Over Combined 6.5 Passing TDs
Trevor Lawrence Over 2.5 TD Passes
Joe Burrow Under 39.5 Passing Attempts
Bowls: 18-23
All-Time Record: 45-55 (45%)