Sacramento State (ML, Under 128.8 Parlay) vs Weber State 11:30 AM
Weber State has lost 5 of their last 7 games. They are just 4-11 ATS away from home as an underdog. Sacramento State is 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games, and each of their last 3 wins have been by double digits. Their 9th ranked scoring defense in the country is no match for Weber State. However, their 335th scoring offense is why I will also be taking the Under.
Miami vs Clemson (-4) 12 PM
The Tigahs have been wildly inconsistent down the stretch. Two puzzling losses to ACC bottom feeder Georgia Tech, as well as 12 point loss to lousy Virginia Tech have people scratching their heads. But they also had wins against Louisville and Florida State this month. Miami sits as the 9 seed in the tournament. However, they are just 3-9 ATS against teams seeded 1-8 in the ACC Tournament.
Utah vs Oregon State (-4) 3 PM
Utah is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games away from home and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Meanwhile, the Beavers have covered their last 3 games as a favorite, and are 12-7 ATS as a favorite overall. The Beavers won the last meeting by 19 and should get the win and cover here.
4.5 Point Teaser:
Washington vs Arizona (-1) 5:30 PM
Depaul vs Xavier (-2) 9:30 PM
Washington State vs Colorado (-4) 11:30 PM
The Huskies are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games, but have covered 3 of their last 4 games down the stretch, including two outright wins at Arizona State and at Arizona. The Wildcats were a 10.5 point favorite, and ended up losing to the Huskies by 6. They won the first matchup, but by only 3. The Wildcats are 1-4 SU and ATS in their final 5 games. These are the reasons I don’t like this bet, but I’m still going Wildcats to win outright.
Depaul has lost 15 of their last 18 games and it is only getting worse. Their last 5 losses are by 29, 20, 11, 18 and 38! Xavier has won 6 of their last 10 games and beat the Blue Demons twice this season already by 8 and 11.
The Cougars have lost 9 of their last 12 games, and two of those wins came against rival Washington. They lost by 22 the first time they played the Buffaloes back in January. The Buffaloes are on a 4 game losing streak, but that snaps tonight against an awful Cougars team.
Northwestern vs Minnesota (ML, Over 136.5 Parlay; MIN -4.5 1st Half) 6 PM
The Wildcats lost 12 in a row, but have won 2 of their last 3, including an upset against Penn State. The other an overtime win vs Nebraska. The Gophers are 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games, but their 3 wins have been by 18, 26 and 32. The win by 26 was against these Wildcats. In fact, in the two games these two teams played, the Gophers led by 9 and 16 at halftime. In Northwestern’s last 6 losses, 5 were by 9 or more, while their average margin of defeat is 16.5 points per loss during that span. Trends say to take the Gophers spread, but I’ll add the moneyline to parlay with the Over. The over hit in each of the first two meetings, with totals of 145 and 140. The Wildcats have scored 80+ in 3 games this season, twice in their last 3 games. I’m not saying they’ll score 80, but should be able to contribute enough to get to the over.
Boston College (+9) vs Notre Dame 7 PM
The Eagles were 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their final 7 games and were 7-13 in conference play this season. Those 13 losses were by an average of 16.8 points per loss, with 10 of those 13 losses by double digits. However, the Irish have won by double digits just twice in conference play; home wins against Miami and Wake Forest. Although the Eagles have been crushed this season, not against the Irish. These teams split their two games, and both were decided by just a single point.
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State (-6.5) 7 PM
The Cyclones are 3-9 SU and ATS in their last 12 games, losing those 9 games by an average of 16.2 points per loss, including a 12-point loss to the Cowboys. The Cowboys are playing their best ball all season, going 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. This revamped Cowboys will play inspired and get the cover.
Nebraska vs Indiana (To Make Tournament -200) 8:25 PM
Nebraska is horrible, literally starting offensive linemen in this game. But yes, IU has not shown up to a Big Ten Tournament game in quite some time. There’s no doubt in my mind IU will win this game. But a -1430 ML just won’t cut it. But if you think they just need to beat Nebraska to get in to the tournament, which I do, then why not take the savings and bet IU to make the tournament for 7 times cheaper. That is quite the value. The Hoosiers do not have any bad losses and their only chance for one is against the Cornhuskers tonight. That just is not happening.
Check in with me for further bets regarding this specific game. I will bet over/under, spread, halves, etc.
Kansas State vs TCU (-2) 9 PM
The Huskies are 1-16 SU as an underdog and 3-15 SU in conference play. They simply don’t know how to win. While the Horned Frogs are no juggernaut, they have won 3 of their last 7, including upset wins against West Virginia and Baylor.
Jonny the Macedonian 