The PGA heads to Minnesota for the 3G Open this weekend. Yet, the number of high profile players is underwhelmingly low, with Dustin Johnson, who just got cut last weekend with two rounds of 80 listed as the favorite. In fact, no one in the Top 20 of the Fed Ex Cup Standings is playing this weekend, which paves the way for some great odds. Last year’s winner, Matthew Wolff, is the 8th favorite this weekend with odds of +2800. Last year, he won with odds of +12500, so anything is possible. Let’s get to it. Here are my Top 5 bets for this weekend’s tournament.
#5- Jhonatthan Vegas Top 30 +150
Vegas ranks 17th on the tour in driving distance, which plays well at this course, along with strong putting. Before being CUT last weekend on a tough course play, he had made 7 of 8 CUTS, scoring a Top 30 in 5 of those events. That kind of consistency, with the mix of weaker competition this weekend is a perfect place to get plus money.
#4- Will Gordon Top 20 +335
Gordon’s the type of player you want on this course. He ranks 23rd in driving distance, 14th in greens in regulation percentage, and 17th with 4.31 birdies per round. If he can stay on the fairways, where he has struggled, and find consistency, I like Gordon to pay off big here. He has finished 21st or better in 4 of his last 6 events and now gets a diminished field. He was CUT here last year which helps his odds, but I think he can squeeze in a Top 20 this year.
#3- Sam Burns Top 30 +140
Burns will be a popular pick this week with how well he’s been playing and what his current odds of +4500 are. He has finished in the Top 30 in 3 straight events and finished T7th here last year. He’s also made 8 of the last 10 CUTs and ranks 10th in driving distance, another advantage at this course.
#2- Henrik Norlander Top 20 +275
One of my favorite golfers continues to get no respect with the odds, so we’ll keep the money coming in. He shot a 6 under last weekend in round 2, which was one of the best scores all weekend and ended up in 6th place overall. He has finished in the top 12 in 2 of his last 3 events and continues his hot streak this weekend in Minneapolis.
#1- Harris English Top 20 +175
My favorite last weekend was Webb Simpson who completely imploded, but we were able to make some money with English last week. And if you’ve been betting golf for a while now, you’ve been winning plenty if you’re putting it on English. He’s finished 17 or better in 5 of his last 6 events and has 9 Top 25 finishes of his 14 events this season, including 5 Top 10 finishes. He’s bound to get one and this is the weekend it happens at +3500, but roll with the Top 20 finish as your solid LOCK OF THE WEEKEND! If you’re interested in my other picks of the weekend, please check them out below:
Fleetwood Top 20 +110
Glover Top 20 +125
Redman Top 20 +275
Seiffert Top 40 +163
Koepka To Miss Cut +275
Jonny the Macedonian 