Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I’m thankful for all of you, thankful sports are on and thankful for the millions of dollars we’ll be cashing out after hitting these bets today. Have a great, safe and winning Thanksgiving!
Houston Texans @ Detroit Lions 12:30 PM
Patricia is 16-3-1 SU and ATS in the first quarter at home as the Lions head coach. That includes two 14-0 leads against the Packers, a 10-0 lead over the 2019 Chiefs, and 3 leads with either Driskel or Blough. They have scored a first quarter TD in 10 of their last 12 home games. The only two they didn’t were with Blough last year and a FG this year to the Bears. DET +0.5 first quarter, DET TD first scoring play, Marvin Jones Jr./D’Andre Swift first TD all in play here.
Bet: Lions +0.5 First Quarter (-141)
The Lions way. While they’re 16-3-1 ATS in the first quarter, they’re 8-12 ATS and 3-7 in their last 10 home games in the full 60 minutes, you know, the entire game thing? Meanwhile, the Texans are 5-1-3 ATS in their last 8 games on the road against a team with a losing record.
Bet: HOU -3 (-110)
The Over is 4-1 for the Texans on the road (the one Under being a crazy weather game in Cleveland) and 10-2 in the Lions last 12 home games, including 4-0 this season. The Lions are allowing 32.5 points per game at home this season, which includes allowing 27 to the Bears! The Texans (if you take out that Browns game) are allowing 32.3 points per game on the road this season.
Bet: Over 51 (-110)
Final Score Prediction: Texans 34 Lions 27
Washington Football Team @ Dallas Cowboys 4:30 PM
The number 1 receiver on the opposing team against the Cowboys has a receiving TD in 6 of the last 8 games. They also have 6 or more receptions in 6 of the last 8 games. That’s good news for Scary Terry who has 7 or more grabs in 6 of his 10 games this season. He leads the team with 14 redzone targets, 5 more than any other player on the team. I like him to score today, maybe even twice?
Bet: McLaurin anytime TD Scorer (+135) McLaurin 2+ TDs (+750)
The only QBs to throw for 250+ against Washington in the last 8 weeks are Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford. 4 in the last 8 weeks didn’t get to 200. The Redskins have allowed over 4.6 yards per carry in their last 3 games while Zeke got 20+ carries for the first time since week 2 last weekend in Minnesota. I expect Zeke to feast and do that stupid feed me dance for every 1, 2, 10 yard run he gets today.
Bet: Andy Dalton Under 249.5 Passing Yards (+100)
The Under is 5-1 in Washington’s last 6 games and 4-1 in the Cowboys last 5 games. The Cowboys rank 6th in big plays this season, but the Redskins defense ranks 7th in holding opponents to big plays. That’s why I think we’ll see a heavy dosage of Zeke on the Cowboys side, and a bunch of dinks to McKissic and dunks to McLaurin on the Redskins side.
Bet: Under 46 (-110)
Final Score Prediction: Redskins 24 Cowboys 15
DFS Lineup
QB – Watson $7,400
RB – Elliott $6,800
RB – Du. Johnson $5,700
WR – McLaurin $7,000
WR – Cooper $5,700
WR – Jones Jr. $5,500
TE – Schultz $3,800
FLEX – Cooks $5,300
DEF – DAL $2,800
Jonny the Macedonian 