That was sad to type the header. That means there are only 4 more weeks of regular season football. That’s ok, we still got the playoffs where Phillip Rivers will choke, the Packers defense will let down Aaron Rodgers and the Bears will be hibernating. Without further ado, here are my Week 13 bets!
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans 1 PM
The Texans will be without their top offensive playmaker and the Colts are getting their top defensive playmaker back. The Colts are 4-1 ATS against teams currently with a losing record while the Texans are 1-5 ATS against teams with winning records. This spreads too low, take the Colts.
Final Score Prediction: Colts 31 Texans 20
Bet: IND -3
Bonus Prop Bet: On BetMGM you can get Over 50 rushing yards for Jonathan Taylor. Here are runningbacks who have run for 50 yards in the last 5 weeks vs this defense: Derrick Henry and Jeremy McNichols (Same game), Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt (Both over 100 in the same game), Jamaal Williams, James Robinson and Adrian Pederson. Kerryon Johnson was 4 yards short in the same game. JT had 22 carries last week and now plays a defense that allows 4.9 yards per rush. Oh, and Phillip Rivers only has 9 toes.
Bet: Jonathan Taylor Over 50 Rushing Yards
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans 1 PM
The Over is 18-2-1 in Tannehill’s starts in Tennessee. That’s bonkers. The Over is 3-1 in the Browns last 4 road games. Some supporting numbers for you: both teams rank in the top 10 in redzone scoring percentage (TEN: 5th CLE: 7th). Both rank in the bottom half of the league in points per game allowed (TEN: 20th CLE: 21st). The Titans are dead last on 3rd down defense and the Browns are dead last on 4th down defense. Up and down the field all day. Big day for AJ Brown. Take the Over.
Final Score Prediction: Browns 24 Titans 35
Bet: Over 53
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets 1 PM
Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers 4:25 PM
The Jets are 0-11 and have lost every game by 3 or more. They’re 3-8 ATS but 1-8 ATS when Darnold starts. If Flacco was starting, I might…no, god no, it’s the Jets. The Packers are 3-1 ATS as a favorite of 6 or more and are 4-0 SU. Eagles are trash.
Final Score Prediction: Raiders 34 Jets 13; Eagles 22 Packers 30
Bet: Tease LV -2/GB -2
Jonny the Macedonian 