NFL Divisional Round – Sat.

It’s Divisional Weekend! Let’s get our bets in!
I have 4 plays for this Saturday Slate.

Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers 4:35PM
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills 8:15PM

1. GB -6.5

Goff is not going to beat the Packers today. His favorite target, Cooper Kupp, is out and he barely has two hands to play with. Honestly, I think I would like the Rams more if they put Wolford out there. Goff was handing off balls with his off hand in last weeks win against the Seahawks. This Rams defense is phenomenal, no doubt. However, they rank 9^th in DVOA which isn’t the greatest defense of all time that they are getting credit for. They have faced the following quarterbacks since week 12: Nick Mullens, Kyler Murray, Cam Newton, Sam Darnold, Russell Wilson, and Chris Streveler. Let’s no forget the Packers drafted a quarterback in the first round to piss off Aaron Rodgers. You saw how the Packers blew out the Bears despite it being close for the majority of the game. I’ll take the Packers all day!

2. BAL +2.5

The Bills come in to this game ranked 4^th in yards per play. They air it out and get chunk yardage. It’s their identity. The Ravens rank 7^th in yards per play allowed, meaning they shortened the field and don’t give up homeruns. With a windy, potentially snowy game in Buffalo, the Bills may have to rely on their ground game which is bad news. Zack Moss is out this game so it’s up to Devin Singletary to lead the Bills rushing attack against the 7^th ranked rush defense in the league. Notable running quarterbacks against this Bills defense have played well (Newton 9 rushes, 54 yards; Murray 11 rushes, 61 yards; Tagovailoa 6 rushes, 28 yards). The Ravens have the number one rush offense in the league and the Bills defense is vulnerable. I got the Ravens at +3 earlier in the week and that has moved down. I like Baltimore to win outright, but we’ll take the points here.

3. GB -0.5/BAL +9

I’m confident about both these spreads, but why not tease them as well. Baltimore’s defense and running game will be sure to keep this game close, and no way Aaron Rodgers loses at home here. Tease em’ up!

4. BAL/BUF Under 49.5

Along with the Ravens, I like the Under in this game. The weather, the ground attacks, the limits on big plays: all contribute to this game trending toward the under.