NFL Championship Sunday

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Green Bay Packers 3:05 PM

The Bucs leading receiver last weekend was Cameron Brate with 4 catches for 50 yards. Brady failed to reach 200 yards passing and the Bucs allowed just their 3^rd runningback to go over 65 yards rushing in a game. They still won by double digits. Maybe if the Saints had a tight end who could hold on to the ball, the Saints would be going to Lambeau today. Maybe if the Saints had a quarterback that could throw more than 5 yards down the field, Brady wouldn’t be playing in his 14^th conference title game. You know what the Bucs opponent this week doesn’t have? A turnover problem. The Packers rank #1 in giveaways and that’s how the Bucs defense excels. Against Top 10 teams in DVOA, the Packers have scored 32+ points in 5 of those 6 games. Yes, the one was a fluke against the Bucs back in week 6. The Packers play hungry, angry and motivated today. I like the Packers a lot but will still buy down to -3 for safe keeping.

Final Score Prediction: Buccaneers 20 Packers 34
Bet: GB -3

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs 6:40 PM

What a game this should be. Two of the best young quarterbacks in the league and I can’t wait. Last year we thought we would be seeing Lamar vs Mahomes for decades. That has quickly changed to Allen vs Mahomes for decades. The constant? Sir Patrick Mahomes. 24-1 in last 25 games. But how can you ignore what Josh Allen is doing? I don’t want to root against either and I want the score to be 100-99. The under probably worth a look but I took over 50 when the line first came out so I feel good about that. Instead my play will lean the Chiefs. I slightly favor an experienced Mahomes over Allen. The Bills could have been beat in either playoff game thus far, and the Chiefs may have won by 40+ if Mahomes never left last week. The Chiefs have led in 60 straight games, so if you do like the Bills, may want to wait until the Chiefs inevitably get the lead. The x factor for me is the Honeybadger himself. The Bills defense doesn’t have that kind of playmaker on that side of the ball, so I will gladly take the home team in what should be a hell of a good one.

Final Score Prediction: Bills 24 Chiefs 30
Bet: KC -3