12 PM Games:

Purdue @ Northwestern (NW -2, 39.5)

Northwestern has scored 6 points in 12 quarters, 10 points or less in 6 of their 8 games, and have scored one touchdown in the last 16 quarters. Purdue starts Aidan O’Connell, the 4th quarterback on the depth chart entering the season after two injuries to their starters and a retirement from another. I’m sure he’ll do fine, but I’m not banking on a breakout performance against an otherwise decent Wildcat defense. Final Score Prediction: Purdue 17 Northwestern 16

Bet: Under 39.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Purdue 24 Northwestern 22

Penn State @ Minnesota (PSU -6.5, 47.5)

Penn State’s stifling defense that allows 9.6 ppg goes into Minnesota to face the Gopher’s high flying offense that score 38.4 ppg. Tony Dungy, legendary Gopher alum, has called this the Gopher’s biggest game in 50 years. Unfortunately for him and the Gopher fans, they won’t be going home happy. Minnesota has played well this season, but against a cupcake schedule, which ranks 76th in the country, while Penn State has played the 7th toughest schedule. Michigan scored 21 against the Nittany Lions, but no one else has scored more than 13. Look for Penn State to give the Gopher’s a tough day. Final Score Prediction: Penn State 34 Minnesota 17

Bet: PSU -6.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Penn State 26 Minnesota 31

3:30 PM Games:

Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech (WF -2, 61.5)

Frank Beamer’s team is a home underdog after nearly pulling off an upset in South Bend. Why? Because Wake has a little number next to their name? Ok, fine, they do average 38 ppg and over 320 passing yards per game. Those numbers may be skewed a bit, scoring 38 vs Utah St., 41 @ Rice, 49 vs Elon, and 59 vs Louisville’s atrocious defense. This will only be the second time they’ve played a team with a winning record (@ BC W by 3, vs LOU L by 3). Virginia Tech will be Wake’s biggest test of the season, and I don’t think they’re up for it. Tech wins this game outright. Final Score Prediction: Wake Forest 24 Virginia Tech 27

Bet: VT +2 (consider parlay with the under)
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Wake Forest 17 Virginia Tech 36

UAB @ Southern Mississippi (USM -7, 49)

The winner of this game will be in sole possession on second place in Conference USA’s West division behind only Louisiana Tech. UAB brings in the 6th best pass defense and 10th best rush defense in the entire country, allowing only 17.5 ppg which ranks 14th. This does not bode well for Southern Mississippi’s junior quarterback Jack Abraham who has thrown 5 interceptions in the last two games. UAB allowed it’s most points to an opponent in last weeks 30-7 loss to Tennessee, but has otherwise not allowed more than 20 points. I think their defense keeps them in this and might even win outright. The under is considerable as well. Final Score Prediction: UAB 27 USM 20

Bet: UAB +7
Confidence: 5 units
Result: UAB 2 Southern Mississippi 37

LSU @ Alabama (ALA -6, 64)

I’m putting this on here because it will be the most bet game of the season. LSU has not beat Bama since 2011, and I don’t think this year’s team will break that trend. The Tigers have given up 23 pass plays of 20+ yards this season, so I expect Tua and Jeudy to have a big connection today. The Tigers have already played three games against then top 10 teams and won all three. However, they trailed in the second half to Florida and Auburn. Give Saban an extra week to prepare with last week off, I like the Tide to Roll. Final Score Prediction: LSU 23 Bama 44

Bet: ALA -6
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: LSU 46 Alabama 41

4 PM Game:

North Texas @ Louisiana Tech (LAT -5.5, 72)

Louisana Tech comes into this one scoring 42 or more points in 4 of 5 games, while North Texas has given up 39 or more in that same span. Points will be scored, so will North Texas be able to keep up? LA Tech has given up 21.6 ppg over their last 6 games. North Texas is 0-4 on the road with an average margin of defeat of 11.75 while LA Tech is 4-0 at home with an average margin of victory of 20.25. I’ll take the home team. Final Score Prediction: North Texas 27 Louisiana Tech 45

Bet: LAT -5.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: North Texas 17 LA Tech 52

5 PM Game:

Georgia State @ UL Monroe (GAST -3, 76)

UL Monroe has given up 45 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games, while their offense only averages 28.8 ppg. Georgia State has put up 48 three different times this season and seems like a good spot to make it a fourth. This is the same Georgia State team that upset Tennessee on opening weekend and has won 4 straight. Other than a 3OT loss @ Texas State and an early September blowout loss to Western Michigan, the Panthers have been handling business. I’ll take the Panthers and give the points. Final Score Prediction: Georgia State 52 UL Monroe 33

Bet: GAST -3
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Georgia State 31 UL Monroe 45

7 PM Game:

Missouri @ Georgia (UGA -17.5, 48)

The Tigers scored 31 points or more in their first 6 games, but have been held to 14 and 7 last two weeks. Now they have to go to Athens to play a Georgia defense that has not allowed 20 points in regulation in all 8 games this season. The Bulldog’s offense has averaged on 25.6 ppg in their last 5 games and have been held to 24 points or less in 4 of those 5 games. Think this one stays low scoring as well. Final Score Prediction: Missouri 14 Georgia 23

Bet: Under 48
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Missouri 0 Georgia 27

7:30 Games:

Clemson @ North Carolina State (-34, 53.5)

I’m not sure why Clemson is ranked 5th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. I’m guessing it is because of that North Carolina scare. Let’s take that game out (even though they did win). They are averaging 41.5 ppg including their last 4 games of 45, 45, 59 and 59. Their average margin of victory is 36.5. Take away that North Carolina 20 points, they have not allowed more than 14 in any game. NC State has given up 44 and 45 points in their last two weeks and I think the Tigers come out hungry and ready to prove themselves worthy of a top 4 spot. Final Score Prediction: Clemson 52 NC State 10

Bet: Over 43.5 Clemson team total
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Clemson 55 NC State 10

Notre Dame @ Duke (ND -7.5, 50.5)

The Irish have not been playing their best as of late. Barely beating USC, getting blown out by Michigan, and a last minute score to beat Virginia Tech at home. Now they get a Duke team that has lost 3 of their last 4. I think Notre Dame’s talent overpowers the BlueDevils and handle them easily. Final Score Prediction: Notre Dame 35 Duke 23

Bet: ND -7.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Notre Dame 38 Duke 7

10PM and later Games:

Nevada @ San Diego State (SDST -17, 38.5)

San Diego State was ranked 25th for a week, but fell out of the top 25 before even playing a game as they had last week off. Now they come home to play the Wolfpack of Nevada to try and reclaim their spot. They are in this position because of their defense, allowing only 14.1 ppg which ranks 8th in the country and now they get to play a Nevada team that scores only 19.3 ppg which ranks 116th in the country. The Wolfpack have been held to 10 points or less in 3 of their last 5 and have allowed 33.8 ppg in that same span. I like the Aztechs to handle business at home Final Score Prediction: Nevada 6 San Diego State 31

Bet: SDST -17
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Nevada 17 San Diego State 13

Today’s Record: 5-6
All-Time Record: 5-9

Detroit Pistons @ Indiana Pacers (IND -7.5, 210.5) 7 PM

I understand why this total is so low. The Pacers rank 19^th in scoring, while the Pistons rank 20^th in scoring. Furthermore, the Pacers rank 20^th in possessions per game, while the Pistons rank 25^th. These two teams have played twice already this season, the first total reaching 229 and the second game only 190. Derrick Rose is out tonight and led the Pistons in shot attempts the last time these two teams played. The under hit in 5 of the first 6 Pacer’s games before the last two games hit the over. That trend ends tonight. Take the under one more time!

Bet: Under 210.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Pistons 106 Pacers 112

Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic (ORL -7, 208) 7 PM

The Magic have allowed 86.3 ppg at home this season, granted that has been against the Cavs, who rank 22nd in ppg, the Knicks, 29th, and the Nuggets, 25th. Memphis ranks 18th, but if you take away their 134 outburst against Brooklyn and their 137 point explosion versus the Timberwolves on Wednesday, they only average 99.8 points per game, which would make them ranked 29th. We all know how tough it is for the Magic to get to 100, especially since they rank last in the league in possessions per game. I think both teams fail to reach 100 tonight, so take the under.

Bet: Under 208
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Grizzlies 86 Magic 118

Sacramento Kings @ Atlanta Hawks (SAC -2, 225) 7:30 PM

Points Per Game: Sacramento 103.5 (26th) Atlanta 102.6 (27th)
Possessions Per Game: Sacramento 103.2 (26th) Atlanta 105 (19th)
Opponents Points Per Game: Sacramento 111.9 (19th) Atlanta 105 (7th)
Over/Under Record: Sacramento 3-5, Atlanta 0-7
Shall I go on?

Bet: Under 225
Confidence: 5 Units
Result: Kings 121 Hawks 109

Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans (TOR -3, 231) 8:10 PM

The Pelicans have scored 116 points in 6 of 7 games this season, including at least 122 in 4 of those games. Oh, and they are 1-6, which means they are giving up just as much. They have allowed 123 or more in 6 of 8 games this season. The Raptors have scored more than 125 points in 3 games already this season, let’s make a fourth.

Bet: Over 231
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Raptors 122 Pelicans 104

Today’s Record: 1-3
All-Time Record: 6-5

Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders (LAC -1.5, 49)

Zero. Zilch. None. That is the amount of times a Chargers game has hit a 49 total during regulation this season (Colts-Chargers total of 54 because of OT). In fact, the total has not reached any higher than 43 since week 3. They have held their opponents to 17.3 ppg since week 3. Their offense has not been much better, scoring 20.5 ppg in that same span. In Raiders games, the total has hit 49 in 4 of their 8 games, but has hit over 51 in three straight. However, those games included Aaron Rodger’s six TD performance, and two high prolific offenses and big play susceptible defenses in Houston and Detroit respectively. The Chargers are not that and do not have Aaron Rodgers. Hammer that under tonight.
Final Score Prediction: Chargers 23 Raiders 20

Bet: Under 49
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Chargers 24 Raiders 26

Today’s Record: 0-1
All-Time Record: 0-1

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (IND -4, 224.5) 7 PM

IF YOU MUST, there is a ‘Cers game tonight, so I’ll put it on here. The Wizards are 5-1 ATS this season, second best in the league. Pacers on night two of a back-to-back while the Wizards coming off a 1-2 homestand and haven’t traveled since October 26th. Wizards have scored 100 or less in 2 of 3 road games, while the Pacers have allowed 100 or less in 2 of 3 home games. Guys, I’m going back to it. Home team going to slow this one down after an exhausting OT game, plane ride back home and a struggling Wizards team coming to town.

Bet: Under 224.5
Confidence 1 Unit
Result: Wizards 106 Pacers 121

Chicago Bulls @ Atlanta Hawks (ATL -1.5, 221) 7:30 PM

Both the Bulls and Hawks are playing their second game of a back to back. The Bulls are coming off a tough blown loss to LeLakers while the Hawks survived the Spurs. This will be the second time these teams are playing a second half of a back to back. The Bulls played back to back on October 25th and 26th and put up a lousy 84 points in their second game. The Hawks, too, struggled to generate points in their second game of their back to back with only 97. Not sure why this line is so high. I like the under.

Bet: Under 221
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Bulls 113 Hawks 93

Sacramento Kings @ Toronto Raptors (TOR -8, 218.5) 7:40 PM
Orlando Magic @ Dallas Mavericks (DAL -7, U207.5) 8:40 PM

Last night we took two road teams as part of our parlay, something not usually a good idea. Tonight, we’ll go with two home teams. The Raptors have lost twice this year, @ Boston and @ Milwaukee. In their other 4 games (3 Home games), they are 4-0 with an average margin of victory of 13.25.
Guys, Orlando’s team total is at 100.5 again!!! That would be my pick, but Dallas does play one of the faster paces in the league, so if the Magic were to break that barrier, it could be tonight (still probably won’t). Nonetheless, the Mavericks have scored at least 108 in every game this season while the Magic haven’t scored 100. How? How do the Magic win this game?

Bet: TOR ML/DAL ML
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Kings 120 Raptors 124
Magic 106 Mavericks 107

Today’s Record: 2-1
All-Time Record: 5-2

Miami (OH) @ Ohio (Ohio -8.5, 55) 7:30 PM

How’s this for a fun prop. I bet that the total of this game exceeds Ohio State and Cincinnati’s team totals at Value Center Arena tonight. But Draftkings doesn’t support my fun so we’ll just have to take the over in this game. Miami (OH) has scored 25 ppg in their last 4 while Ohio’s defense has allowed 29.5 in that same span. Ohio has one of the more efficient offenses in the MAC, scoring over 30 in 5 of the first 8 games, including in each of their last 3 (38.3 ppg in that span). If nothing else, both MACation games from last night hit the over so let’s try this again.
Final Score Prediction: Miami (OH) 28 Ohio 38

Bet: Over 55
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Miami (OH) 24 Ohio 21

Today’s Record: 0-1
All-Time Record: 0-3

Wake Forest @ Boston College (BC -2.5, 144.5) 6 PM

We get an early ACC matchup both in terms of the season and the night. Last season Wake Forest finished 14^th of 15^th  in the conference with a record of 11-20 (4-14) while Boston College finished 12^th with a record of 14-17 (5-13). The best player in this matchup is Eagle’s forward Nic Popovic who averaged 14.5 ppg and 7.2 rpg last season. A close second could be transfer guard Derryck Thornton, a former top 15 recruit who has played at Duke and USC. Look, both teams suck, but the home team has covered spread In 5 of the 7 matchups between these two. Wake Forest was a dreadful 1-10 on the road last season. I don’t see them starting their season matching last year’s road win total. Take the Eagles.

Bet: BC -2.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Wake Forest 70 Boston College 77

Green Bay @ Purdue (PUR -23.5, 151) 7PM

Purdue’s season starts tonight in hopes of erasing last season’s heartbreaking elite eight exit to Virginia. They will have to do so without their best player Carsen Edwards and key role players, Ryan Cline And Grady Eifert. Their first test come against Green Bay out of the Horizon League who was ranked 24^th last year in ppg with 81.3. Last season, they finished 4^th in the conference with a record of 21-17 (10-8). But they aren’t strangers to big name schools. Last season they lost @ Iowa by 11, @ Oregon by 11 and @ Michigan State by 21. Green Bay has the offensive power to keep up with the Boilers. Take the Packers….I mean Phoenix to cover.

Bet: GB +23.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Green Bay 57 Purdue 79

Notre Dame @ North Carolina (UNC -9.5, 149) 7 PM

Notre Dame has beaten two teams in 2019, Boston College and Georgia Tech, 10^th and 11^th in the ACC last season. The Irish finished 14th with a record 14-19 (3-15), only ahead of Pittsburgh. They finished 0-8 against ranked teams. Notre Dame will be better this year, because, well, they have to right? And while I think this spread would be acceptable in South Bend, or a game in January, I think to start the season in Chapel Hill against a team that could go for 100 on any given night to begin a rebound year is a tough task. Take the Tar Heels to roll.

Bet: UNC -9.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Notre Dame 65 North Carolina 76

Cincinnati @ Ohio State (OSU -5.5, 143.5) 8:30 PM

Ohio is a sluggish, grey state that hasn’t seen sunshine since 2003. That’s indicative of how this game will be played. Last season, offensively, Ohio State ranked 303^rd (69.1 ppg) while Cincinnati ranked 226^th (71.8 ppg). Defensively, the Buckeyes ranked 47^th (66.2 ppg) while the Bearcats ranked 15^th (62.9 ppg). Take the under here.

Bet: Under 143.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Cincinnati 56 Ohio State 64

Virginia @ Syracuse (UVA -3, 122.5) 9 PM

Syracuse played host to 6 ranked teams are the Carrier Dome last season. Their one win was a 20 point blowout of Louisville. The other 5 losses: 13 Oregon by 15, 14 Buffalo by 12, 22 Florida State by 18, 1 Duke by 10, 2 Virginia by 26. Syracuse won’t lose again by 26, but Virginia will still handle the Orange and this tiny 3 point spread.

Bet: UVA -3
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Virginia 48 Syracuse 34

Today’s Record: 5-0
All-Time Record: 7-0

Los Angeles Lakers @ Chicago Bulls (LAL -7, 215) 8 PM
Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers (BOS -6, 213.5) 7:05 PM

A Lakers/Celtics parlay is my play here. It speaks for itself. Both the Lakers and Celtics are strong defensive teams playing against the Bulls and Cavs, two weak offensive teams. Take the Moneylines just to be sure.

Bet: Lakers ML/Celtics ML
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Lakers 118 Bulls 112; Celtics 119 Cavs 113

Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets (IND -3.5, 212) 7 PM

If you want to bet on the Pacers game tonight, I am kind of nervous about them going into Charlotte and coming out with a win, but there is some value on the under. Charlotte has scored 101 or less in 4 of their last 5 games, while the Pacers have allowed 96 or less in 3 of their last 4 games. The Pacer’s offense is no juggernaut, scoring less than 110 in 5 of their last 6 while the Hornets defense hasn’t allowed more than 111 in their last 3 games.

Bet: Under 212
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Pacers 120 Hornets 122 OT

San Antonio Spurs @ Atlanta Hawks (SA -5.5, 221.5) 7:30 PM

Take the under in this game. All 5 of the Hawks’ games have hit under the 221.5 total, with 117 being the highest total in any of their games this season. Spurs games have hit this total in 4 of their 6 games, but with this game being in Atlanta, look for the home team to control the pace.

Bet: Under 221.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Spurs 100 Hawks 108

Orlando Magic @ Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC -2.5, 202) 8 PM

Here’s the NBA Play of the Night. Take Orlando’s team total of 100.5 to hit the under. The Magic have yet to score more than 99 points in any game this season. The Thunder’s defense must be terrible for this line to be where it is, right? The Thunder have allowed less than 104 points in 5 of their last 6 games. The three teams that have score the most points against them this season are Portland 102 (114.4 ppg) New Orleans 104 (119.3 ppg) and Houston 116 (119.3 ppg) all held under their season averages. The Magic’s average ranks last in the NBA with 93.5.

Bet: ORL Team Total Under 100.5
Confidence: 6 Units
Result: Magic 94 Thunder 102

Today’s Record: 3-1
All-Time Record: 3-1

Ball State @ Western Michigan (WMU -6.5, 63) 8 PM

In 5 home games this season, the Broncos have allowed 12.8 ppg and no more than 16, while Ball State has scored between 21-31 points in 6 of 8 games. Ball State has allowed 23 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games. Western Michigan has scored 38 ppg in their last 3 games, however that is against 3 of the bottom 4 defenses in the MAC (Ball State ranked in the middle of the MAC defensively). The total is a little inflated because these are the top two scoring teams in the MAC, but I think those number might be a little skewed. Take the under.
Final Prediction: Ball State 24 Western Michigan 31

Bet: Under 63
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Ball State 31 Western Michigan 35

Kent State @ Toledo (TOL -6.5, 64) 7 PM

Kent State’s schedule makes them a tough read. They’ve lost @ Arizona State, @ Auburn and @Wisconsin. They beat DII school Kennesaw State in overtime 26-23. They are currently 2-2 in the MAC (2 wins against combined 3-15, 2 losses against combined 8-8). Toledo has allowed at least 20 points in 7 of their 8 games, but have scored at least 24 in 6 of their 8 games. The Rockets are 4-0 at home while the Golden Flashes are 1-4 on the road. Give me Toledo to cover at home.

Bet: TOL -6.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Kent State 33 Toledo 35

Today’s Record: 0-2
All-Time Record: 0-2

Houston Baptist @ Tulsa (Tulsa -15, 158.5) 1 PM

Western Illinois @ Indiana (Indiana -21, 143) 7 PM

Last season against non power 5 teams, IU won by an average of 28.8 ppg, but 4 of 7 of those games were won by more than 21. Western Illinois finished 8 of 9 in the Summit League last season. They lost @ Creighton to start the season by 11, and later lost @ Nebraska by 24. Western Illinois just isn’t a strong enough non power conference team to compete with the Hoosiers.

Bet: IU -21
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Western Illinois 65 Indiana 98

Today’s Record: 2-0
All-Time: 2-0