Indianapolis Colts (-8) @ Jacksonville Jaguars 1PM
Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5) @ Washington Redskins 1PM

Normally I wouldn’t side with two road teams in one bet, but with no fans at either game (even though Jacksonville is allowing their “fans” to be there), I’ll happily tease these two together. Better yet, even one of the starters go down, their backups are more than capable of getting their team a win.

Bet: Tease IND -2/PHI +0.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints 4:25PM

The Bucs lost by 7 in the Superdome last year despite Winston throwing 204 yards and there being 70,000 fans in the building. A little math here: Add Tom Brady who hasn’t been an underdog since 2015, subtract 70,000 screaming defenders and the Bucs can cover a 3.5 point spread with Brady at the helm and the number 1 ranked rush defense from a season ago.

Bet: TB +3.5

Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) @ Los Angeles Rams 8:20PM

The Cowboys defense held the Rams to 7 points entering the 4th quarter in their December of 2019 game, less than a year ago. Since, the Cowboys front seven has gotten even better, adding Gerald McCoy and Dontari Poe. Whether you think Akers is an upgrade from Gurley or not, he’s still a rookie playing against one of the most talented front sevens in the league. Not to mention, I’ll take Dak over Goff every day.

Bet: DAL ML/Under 52 +225

NBA

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors (-1.5) 5:40 PM

In Game 1, the Raptors shot 37% from the field, 25% from the 3-point line. and 75% from the free throw line. They still somehow got to 94 points. This is a Raptors team that scored 150 a week ago. The rust shakes off from the 7 days between games, and the Raptors shots will begin to fall. I’m not betting against Brad Stevens. Nope. So I’ll take the over.

Final Score Prediction: Celtics 109 Raptors 117
Bet: Over 218.5

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets (-0.5) 8:40 PM

Sad to see this series end tonight. Jamal Murray has averaged 47.3 ppg over the last 3 games while Donovan Mitchell has averaged 41.7 ppg in that same stretch. Why would they slow down now for Game 7? This will be a show. Murray Over 30.5 points, yes please. Mitchell Over 34.5 points, sure. Hell, over on everything at this point. The Over is 6-1 the last 7 times these teams have played, 10-2 in the Jazz last 12 and 13-1 in the Nuggets last 14. Why have they not adjusted this line?!?! All in.

Final Score Prediction: Jazz 168 Nuggets 169 5 OTs
Bet: Over 217.5

NHL

New York Islanders (-121) vs Philadelphia Flyers 7PM
Vancouver Canucks vs Las Vegas Golden Knights (-230) 9:45 PM

Well for one, I kind of want to take the Canucks because this is a game where they are playing for respect. They’ve been shut out twice in this series and are coming off a 5-3 loss in Game 4 where they had the lead going into the 3^rd period. But I think the Golden Knights have deflated their hopes and will put them away in Game 5. Parlay that with the Under 5 between the Islanders and Flyers. In the first 4 games of this series, the Flyers have scored 2 or less goals 3 times. In fact, they haven’t scored 3 or more goals in regulation in 7 of their last 10 games. Islanders will close this series out with a 3-1 victory (+2000) and the goals will be limited.

Final Score Predictions: Islanders 3 Flyers 1; Canucks 2 Golden Knights 4
Bet: NYI/PHI Under 5.5 & VGS ML

MLB

Chicago White Sox (-117) vs Minnesota Twins 8:10 PM

If I had to pick a baseball bet tonight, I’ll go with the White HOT Sox over the slumping Twins who have looked more like the LG Twins (KBO fans? Anyone? Actually they’re in 3^rd place in the league and worth a bet at -110 against SK tomorrow morning). I digress. The White Sox are 5-2 in their 7 games in which Keuchel started this season. Pineda, coming off a PED suspension, makes his season debut tonight. The Twins have lost 6 in a row, including being swept by the Tigers. Meanwhile, the White Sox have catapulted into first place in the division by winning 12 of their last 14 games.

Final Score Prediction: White Sox 6 Twins 3
Bet: CWS -117

NBA

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks (-5.5) 6:40 PM

The Heat swept the Pacers, covering ATS in all 4 games by at least 4 points. The Bucks went 3-2 ATS against the Magic, while each of the last 4 games came down to the final possession. These teams faced off 3 times this season. The Bucks were favored in all three, but the Heat went 2-1 ATS and SU against them. Giannis had a career best 1.16 points per possession this season, but while being defended by Bam Adebayo, that plummeted to 0.54 points per possession, which is his career worst against any opponent. Tempting to take the Heat moneyline, but I’ll be happy to take the free points.

Final Score Prediction: Heat 121 Bucks 116
Bet: Heat +5.5 (-110)

Houston Rockets (-5) vs Oklahoma City Thunder 9:10 PM

I thought these teams were evenly matched going in, especially after the series ended up being tied up at 2 a piece. But Game 5 showed the Rockets are far and away the better team, that only lost the two games off flukiness. Now Westbrook is back, and the Rockets are gelling. The Thunder can not keep up, and will once again be blown out tonight to end their season.

Final Score Prediction: Rockets 119 Thunder 106
Bet: Rockets -5 (-110)

MLB

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays (-182) 2:07 PM

The Bluejays have beaten the Orioles in 10 of their last 11 games and have scored 5 or more runs in 9 of those 11 games. The Orioles bring Keegan Akin to the mound today, probably just an opener so expect this to be a bullpen game here. The Orioles bullpen isn’t horrible, but they do have a 4.12 ERA. The Blue Jays offense comes in red hot, scoring 5 or more runs 6 in a row and 8 of their last 10. Today the go for the series sweep averaging 6.3 runs a game in the last 6 games. At “home,” they score 5.9 runs per game compared to only 4.0 on the road. Blue Jays bats stay hot this afternoon.

Final Score Prediction: Orioles 5 Blue Jays 8
Bet: Blue Jays Over 5.5 Runs (-120)

Cleveland Indians (-240) @ Kansas City Royals 8:05 PM

The Indians and Royals face off tonight with the Indians being heavy favorites. Shane Bieber has been fire this year. He’s 6-0 with a 1.35 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. Brad Keller is no slouch himself. He’s 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. He hasn’t allowed a run at home all season. So there are a couple plays here. Under 2.5 first 3 innings (-152), Under 3.5 first 5 innings (+102) and possibly the under for the game at 7.5 (-112). For me, I’m going to let it ride on the first inning. I think both pitchers come out strong and set the tone early.

Final Score Prediction: Indians 3 Royals 2
Bet: Indians/Royals No Runs First Inning (-134)

NHL

Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning (-117) 7 PM

The Lightning have owned this series and have a 3-1 lead going into tonight’s game. The Bruins scored in each of the first 6 periods of this series. However, since Game 2, the Lightning have outscored the Bruins 10-2. The Lightning at almost even money when they should be closer to 170 or so is value I like here.

Final Score Prediction: Bruins 2 Lightning 4
Bet: Lightning -117

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche (-135) 9:45 PM

These teams have scored at least a combined 7 goals in each of the first 4 games of this series, averaging 8.5 goals a game. The winning team has scored 5 or more in every game of this series so far. The Avalance can’t seem to stop the Stars from scoring. They have allowed 5, 5, 4 and 5 goals to the Stars in the first 4 games. With this being an elimination game, expect goalies to be pulled sooner rather than later as well. Should be another high scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: Stars 5 Avalanche 3
Bet: Over 5.5 Goals (-137)

So if golf is the only thing we have this weekend, we’ll want to make some bets on it (NASCAR too). Below are my 5 favorite value plays for the weekend. I definitely like to get in some winner bets and round leader bets with the long odds. Some of the guys at the top that I like this weekend include:

*Jon Rahm (3 top 15’s in last 4 tournaments, finished 5th last year) +1000
*Justin Thomas (9 of 16 tournaments this season he’s finished top 10, won this tournament last year ) +1200
*Bryson DeChambeau (5 top 10’s last 8 tournaments) +1300.

Digging a little deeper, we definitely have some value. Reminder, there is no cut this weekend and only 69 players are in the tournament.

*I used DraftKings odds here. Check FanDuel for better odds.

#5 – Dylan Frittelli +11000
This one is digging deep. He finished T52 in last year’s tournament. He’s either going to be on or off. He’s finished 33rd or better in 5 of his last 8 tournament, while being cut in the other 3. He’s finished in the top 25 in 3 of his last 5, and has 3 top 10 finishes this season. In a tournament with this small of a field and no cut, it plays well into his game. A Top 20 bet at +275 looks good, but a Top 30, which essentially is top half of the field at +125 is solid bet too.
Bet: Top 30 +125

#4 – Alex Noren +7000
Noren has been hot lately, scoring top 10 finishes in 3 of his last 4 events. Now, with a smaller field, he may just squeak out a win here. His last 4 finishes were 3, 9, 22 and 8th last weekend. Top 20 at +175 is solid while a Top 10 at +500 is a juicy payout too.
Bet: Top 20 +175

#3 – Billy Horschel +5000
Horschel had 4 out of 5 tournaments in the top 25 before getting cut last weekend. 6 of his 20 tournaments this season has resulted in top 10 finishes. Two weekends off of a -20 at Wyndham, I like Horschel’s chances at a bounce back this weekend.
Bet: Top 20 +175

#2 – Scottie Scheffler +3000
These next two guys are my dudes this weekend! Scottie struggled out of the gate after the restart, finishing 55th and getting cut 3 times. But the dude is back! The last 4 tournaments, he has improved his position each time out, with finishes of 22nd, 15th, 4th and 4th last weekend. His 59 shot round last weekend just shows he can play with the best of them and is at the top of his game right now. Leader after 1 +2800, Top 10 +275, Top 5 +550, fire them all up. But for a more conservative play, he’ll make the Top 20.
Bet: Top 20 +110

#1 – Daniel Berger +1700
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
That’s what this guy is. He’s played in 6 tournaments since CORONA took over our lives. He did get CUT once, but don’t let that scare you. In the other 5 tournaments, he’s got 4 top 3 finishes and one 13th place finish. And it’s not like he was playing badly before COVID took over. No, he finished with top 10 finishes in his last 3 tournaments before stoppage of play. So you add it all up, he’s got 7 top 10 finishes in his last 9 tournaments and 6 of those 7 top 10 finishes were actually top 5 finishes. Winner this weekend, yep. Top 5 +400, yep. Top 10 +200, you bet. Lock of the weekend: Top 20 -120
Bet: Top 20 -120

2020 (-10000) Lock of the Universe…..

Milwaukee Bucks (-13) vs Orlando Magic 1:40 PM

The Magic actually have 7 30-point+ quarters this series while the Bucks only have 3. Weird. Bucks will win, but the spread has come down to the final possession in two straight games. I’ll side with the under in this one and parlay it with a Bucks win. Magic scored 43 points in the first half in Game 3, and 64 in the second half. I think this balances out and the Magic score somewhere around 100 so the only thing I worry about is Bucks putting up 130+.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks 116 Magic 102
Bet: MIL ML/Under 226.5 (+120)

Houston Rockets (-2.5) vs Oklahoma City Thunder 4:10 PM

In regulation, in each of these teams last 6 games, the Rockets are averaging 107 points per game while the Thunder are scoring 102 points per game. The average total in regulation is 216 in this series, with the last two games totaling 209 and 208. In Game 1, Harden made 6 3’s and the Rockets shot 48.3% from the field and the total only reached 231. If this game avoids overtime, this one should stay under. That being said, a little hedge on it actually going to overtime at +1200 is an interesting play.

Final Score Prediction: Rockets 107 Thunder 105
Bet: Under 224.5 & Game to go to overtime (+1200)

Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers (-6.5) 6:40 PM

If Brogdon putting up 34 points and 14 assists, Turner getting 12 rebounds and the team shooting almost 49% can’t get this team a cover, I don’t know what can? I keep wanting to go back to it, but at this point? Screw it. Pacers ML +215. They’re going to lose so this will be the last time I do this.

Final Score Prediction: Pacers 105 Heat 115
Bet: PaCeRs MoNeYlInE +215

Los Angeles Lakers (-7) @ Portland Trailblazers 9:10 PM

The Lakers largest lead in Game 3 was 12 points and it was essentially close the entire game besides a 4 minute stretch in the 3^rd quarter. The Trailblazers lead at halftime, and lost by 8 despite Lebron scoring 38. Lakers probably win and probably win big since I’m 0-3 on bets in this series, but I am going back to Dame one more time.

Final Score Prediction: Hopefully Lakers 131 Trailblazers 125 so we can get $50 back
Bet: POR +7

Toronto Raptors (-11) vs Brooklyn Nets 1:40 PM

The Raptors played, what? Maybe a C- kind of game in Game 2? Shot 26% from 3, 68% from the line, outrebounded 62-56, and allowed 6 guys to score in double figures. They still won by 5! Now Joe Harris, arguably the Nets second best player remaining on the roster (15 pts, 14 reb. in Game 2), leaves the bubble for a personal matter. Ouch. The Raptors don’t mess around here and blow this team out by 20+. I like the Raptors -11, but also looking at -17 at +240.

Final Score Prediction: Raptors 117 Nets 95
Bet: TOR -11 (-110) & TOR -17 (+240)

Denver Nuggets (1.5) vs Utah Jazz 4:10 PM

The Over is a combined 17-3 in Nuggets and Jazz games in the bubble. Conley returns to the Jazz today and his defense could shift this trend. We started to see a feel for a slower pace and focus on the half court offenses in Game 2, which favors the Jazz here. Maybe the Jazz figured something out here, and now they get their facilitator on offense and a strong lockdown on defense. Jazz to win and the under is a +280, and I like that value a lot.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets 104 Jazz 110
Bet: Jazz to Win + Under 219 (+280)

Boston Celtics (-5) vs Philadelphia 76ers 6:40 PM

So I guess the big bet here is the first bucket. So let’s dive into Embiid vs. Tatum. Tatum has scored the first Celtic’s bucket in 3 of the last 4 games; 4 of last 5 and 5 of last 7 if you exclude Heyward. Theis and Kanter have been the other first basket scorers in the last 9, but with Embiid’s mismatch against them, Tatum may just do it again. May want to include Theis at +1600 in your equations. Speaking of Embiid, he has only scored the first bucket in 2 of the 76ers last 9 games. If you’re feeling fading Tatum, Richardson has actually scored the first bucket the most for the 76ers, 3 of the last 9, with odds of +800. The move here is Tatum at +500 with some insurance with Theis (+1600) and Richardson (+800). Oh, and by the way, the Celtics have the 76ers number. Brad Stevens 22-6 ATS as a favorite in the playoffs.

Final Score Prediction: Celtics 118 76ers 110
Bet: Tatum First Basket (+500) & BOS -5 (-110)

Los Angeles Clippers (-5) vs Dallas Mavericks 9:10 PM

Clippers bounce back tonight and prove they are still the best in the west. They’re just too good not to. What a series this is though. The Mavs may be able to beat any other team in the West in a best of 7 series, and may even take this one, but I just don’t see it. Paul George, want to wake up buddy? What the hell is that? No wonder you could never get the Pacers over the hump you sack of trash.

Final Score Prediction: Clippers 123 Mavericks 112
Bet: LAC -5 + Cleveland Indians ML (+182)

You may have noticed two things. Number 1, in every game, I have plus money included in my bet. That’s called value and that’s how we beat the books. Suck it Vegas. Number 2, I included a baseball bet with the Clippers. In fact, you may just want to add Indians moneyline (-200) to any and every bet you place today. VanFleet Over 2.5 3’s (-177)? Boom, add Indians moneyline (+136). Raptors ML (-670)? Boom, add Indians moneyline (-138). Here’s why:

The Indians have beaten the Tigers 20 straight times and 45 of the last 53! They have covered the run line of -1.5 in 18 of those 20 games. The have outscored them by 78 runs in those 20 games. The last time the Tigers won against the Indians was in April of 2019. The temperature? 32 degrees. In fact, ready for your absolute crazy stat of the year? The Tigers have not won a series where the temperature was above 50 degrees since 2015! I know you don’t believe in the weather channel app, but temps in Cleveland tonight are in the upper 70s. Ball game!

Oh, by the way, not that it matters, but the pitching matchup is Michael Fulmer (7.56 ERA), who has given up 5 homeruns in 8.1 innings vs. Adam Plutko (3.95 ERA) who is 5-0 in his last 5 games against the Tigers.

Bet: CLE ML EVERYWHERE (-200) & CLE -1.5 (+102)

Miami Heat (-4) vs Indiana Pacers 1:10 PM

The Under hit in game 1 despite the Heat shooting 49% and the Pacers shooting 47%. Combined, these teams shot 39% from the 3-point line. Expect regression of those numbers, but the same pace to continue in Game 2. The totals in the last 3 meetings between these two teams have been: 206, 201, 214. And hey, Pacers were right there in game 1 and trailed by only 1 with 4 and a half to play. If Oladipo plays, may want to take a look at taking the points, or even getting on a moneyline bet. Just keep an “eye” on Dipo’s status.

Final Score Prediction: Heat 101 Pacers 104
Bet: Under 215

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets (-2) 3:40 PM

The Thunder admittedly played sluggish in Game 1 and say they will need to pick up the pace if they want to keep up with the Rockets in Game 2. Despite their sluggish ways and the Rockets shooting 48%, Steven Adams still gobbled up 17 points and 12 rebounds. These teams combined to shoot 87 3-pointers in Game 1, which allows for plenty of boards to be had. Adams has a big advantage over P.J. Tucker underneath, and Charles Barkley did say he thought Adams would average 20-20 in this series. Side with Chuck and go Over 24.5 Points and Rebounds for Adams as the Thunder bounce back in Game 2.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 117 Rockets 111
Bet: Steven Adams Over 24.5 Points+Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks (-12.5) 6:10 PM

Before the Game 1 upset, Milwaukee was 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS versus Orlando this season and boasted an average margin of victory of 17 points in those games. But somehow the bubble just isn’t doing it for this team. Yes, they are so much better and talented than the Magic and should win by 20 tonight. However, I already picked two underdogs, and I really want to throw in another. A $1 bet on the Pacers, Thunder, Magic, Trailblazers parlay would payout $138.61. Look, I don’t know about this game, so ride the over on Giannis Points+Rebounds+Assists. He had 31/17/7 in Game 1 and will be extra freak for this one.

Final Score Prediction: Magic 108 Bucks 120
Bet: Giannis Over Points+Rebounds+Assists

Portland Trailblazers vs Los Angeles Lakers (-6.5) 9:10 PM

The Lakers were 5 of 32 from downtown in Game 1. In the bubble, here are the amount of points scored on the Trailblazers: 135, 128, 102, 115, 122, 121, 131, 133, 122 and then 93 to the gReAtEsT pLaYeR oF aLl TiMe. Sure, Lebron posted good numbers in game 1, but unless they added anyone to this roster, we’re still debating whether Danny Green or “Karl” Kuzma is the third best player on this team. On the bright side for the Lakers, the Trailblazers wore themselves out gaining momentum and swagger in the bubble while Frank Vogel decided to rest his guys since, ya know, they didn’t have any rest time in last 3 months or anything. Taking the Blazers from here on out.

Final Score Prediction: Trailblazers 234 Lakers 12
Bet: Trailblazers +6.5

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors (-11.5) 1:40 PM

The Raptors are far away the better team here, as displayed in their 134-110 route in Game 1. They’ll win this game again, but the play here is on the Under. Brooklyn scored 110 in game 1, but won’t reach that number here in Game 2. Before Game 1, the Raptors allowed less than 110 in 6 of their 8 games prior. In those 6 games, they allowed 101.3 points per game. The Raptors offense should see some regression as well, as they shot 22 of 44 from 3 point range. They averaged 113 ppg in the bubble and I expect their defense to be the dominating factor in Game 2.

Final Score Prediction: Nets 104 Raptors 114
Bet: Under 225.5

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets (-4.5) 4:10 PM

The Jazz outrebounded the Nuggets 52-41, got 57 from Donovan Mitchell, shot over 47% from the field and still lost! I guess the question here is can they play up to those standards again? I don’t think they can, so I’m leaning the Nuggets here. Maybe a Toronto/Denver moneyline bet is in order here because the -4.5 seems a bit high for two teams that are so evenly matched. Instead my bets here are going to be player props. You could do single bets or a combination of your favorites for a same game parlay.

Final Score Prediction: Jazz 109 Nuggets 113
Bet:

1. Rudy Gobert Over 15.5 Points – He has scored 16 or more points in 4 of his last 5 games, with the one being a 9 point performance where he only played 16 minutes against Dallas. He’s scored 16 or more points in all 4 games against the Nuggets this season, averaging 19 ppg in those matchups.

2. Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 Rebounds – I always hate taking a rebound prop with a guard, but I think I have to here. He’s gathered 5 or more rebounds in 5 of his 7 games in the bubble, including 9 in Monday’s game with the Nuggets. His last 4 games against the Nuggets, he’s had the aforementioned 9 rebounds, 6, 8 and even 5 rebounds in a game back in January where he only scored 4 points.

3. Nikola Jokic Over 22.5 Points – He put up 29 points in Game 1 despite missing 10 shots. In the previous 4 games against the Jazz, he’s scored 29, 30, 30 and 28. For a guy who will lead the Nuggets in scoring to have a prop this low looks good to me.

4. Jamal Murray Over 20.5 Points – Let’s ride a hot hand here. Dude went off in game 1 for 36 points. He only scored more than 14 points in 2 of the 5 games he played in bubble, but both were against the Jazz. He scored 31 against the Jazz back in February as well. He’s on fire and has a good matchup; 21 points should be good.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics (-4.5) 6:40 PM

This is a fun series since Boston is the better team, but the Sixers have the better matchup. Embiid says he needs to do more, and take more shots, which I completely agree. He only scored 26 points and the offense turned the ball over 18 times, despite only losing by 8. I like Embiid’s props of over 27.5 points and over 43.5 Points, Rebounds, Assists (16 rebounds in game 1). But I also like taking the points in what should be a close game.

Final Score Prediction: 76ers 111 Celtics 107
Bet: 76ers +4.5

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers (-6) 9:10 PM

Let me start off by saying I will be parlaying the Raptors and Clippers today. As of now, the odds would be -176 so not great, but I think the Clippers just have the Maverick’s number. But I have a better play for you here on the Over. These teams combined for 228 points despite a 34 point 3^rd quarter! For real, what were they doing? They combined for 72 points in the first quarter which seems more in line for what this series looks like. Take the Over!

Final Score Prediction: Mavericks 119 Clippers 124
Bet: Over 229.5

Bonus Picks**

Haven’t delved too far into the numbers on these, so I’m just going to run them off here.

-Blue Jackets/Lightning Under 5 Goals
-Canadiens/Flyers Under 5 Goals
-Avalanche/Raptors/Yankees Parlay (+153)
-Any MLB favorite…really (36 of last 42 favorites have won)

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks (-12.5) 1:40 PM

The over/under is set at 225.5 as of right now. When these two teams have played this season, the Under is 4-0, with totals of 214, 211, 211 and 206. These all happened before the bubble, however, the Bucks just haven’t looked themselves. They are right around their season average for points per game of 118.7 ppg, while scoring 118.9 ppg in the bubble.  The Magic are only scoring 109.5 ppg in their last 6 games and are shooting just 30% from the 3-point line. I think the Bucks blow them out, so no need to worry about late game free throws and may even get some starters resting. Let’s ride the under.

Final Score Prediction: Magic 101 Bucks 118
Bet: Under 225.5

Miami Heat (-4.5) vs Indiana Pacers 4:10 PM

The Heat rank 27^th in pace of play, but are #1 in 3-pointers inside the bubble, while the Pacers have aguy like TJ Warren who could go for 50 or 12 (like he did the last time he played the Heat). So the total of 215 is out for me. I’m leaning the under because if the Heat again focus their defense on Warren, Oladipo’s 34% from 3 in the bubble is not so promising. I’m also leaning the Heat on the spread, but a well coached and healthy Pacer team that is hungry, kind of like that too. So instead my bet for this game is player prop for Bam Adebayo. Bam averaged 10.2 rebounds per game this season, and now faces a Pacer team that ranked dead last in rebounding inside the bubble. Bam gathered 9 rebounds in just 22 minutes in the Heat’s blowout win last Monday against the Pacers. If the Pacers keep it a bit closer, he’ll see more minutes, thus more rebounds. In his other two games against the Pacers he had 9 and 15 rebounds, but that was with Sabonis. Take Bam to gather up some boards.

Final Score Prediction: Heat 109 Pacers 103
Bet: Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5) vs Houston Rockets 6:40 PM

No Westbrook for the Rockets, so it’s up to Harden to lead the way. If you can find an attempts prop, hammer the over, because he’ll be shooting it 50-60 times tonight. Problem for the Rockets though: he is shooting 6/40 (15%) from the 3-point line and just 22/67 (32.8%) overall against the Thunder this season. With no Westbrook and Harden’s struggles against the Thunder, I’ll take a hungry Chris Paul to get the W here.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 117 Rockets 108
Bet: OKC -1.5

Portland Trailblazers vs Los Angeles Lakers (-6) 9:10 PM

The Over is 8-1 for the Trailblazers in the bubble and 4-2 in the Lakers last 6 games. The total is set at a low 230.5 in this contest. Here is why that is a mistake. Here were the final totals in Portland’s 9 games in the bubble: 275, 252, 212, 240, 239, 245, 265, 267, 248! That is an average of 249.2 ppg in the bubble, roughly 19 points higher than the total. Hammer, hammer, hammer the Over!

Final Score Prediction: Trailblazers 121 Lakers 127
Bet: Over 230.5

Bonus Picks:

In the MLB we have some hot trends to pick on today.

-The Over is 12-1 for the Angels at home. Cahill gets the mound for the Giants today, and he had an ERA of 5.98 with the Angels last season. Revenge game for the Angels, Trout on fire, yep, hammer the over.

-The Under is 11-1 for the Twins at home. The Twins rank 3^rd in ERA and 1^st in bullpen ERA. Their opponent, Milwaukee ranks 11^th in ERA and 2^nd in bullpen ERA. The overs tend to get boosted because of the Twins booming offense, but against the Brewer’s bullpen and against the Brewer’s offense, which ranks 26^th in runs per game, with Maeda (2.66 ERA) this should stay under yet again.

NHL has a juicy trend to pick on as well.

-The Capitols can’t score. Can’t do it, won’t do it. Well, they’ve scored 10 goals in 6 games, but only 2 of those goals came on 5 on 5s. Between these teams, they are a combined 12-1 in first period goals going Under and 11-2 to the no goals in the first 10 minutes. So two bets here: First Period Under 1.5 goals (-132) and Under 5.5 Goals (-145).