The PGA heads to Minnesota for the 3G Open this weekend. Yet, the number of high profile players is underwhelmingly low, with Dustin Johnson, who just got cut last weekend with two rounds of 80 listed as the favorite. In fact, no one in the Top 20 of the Fed Ex Cup Standings is playing this weekend, which paves the way for some great odds. Last year’s winner, Matthew Wolff, is the 8^th favorite this weekend with odds of +2800. Last year, he won with odds of +12500, so anything is possible. Let’s get to it. Here are my Top 5 bets for this weekend’s tournament.

#5- Jhonatthan Vegas Top 30 +150

Vegas ranks 17^th on the tour in driving distance, which plays well at this course, along with strong putting. Before being CUT last weekend on a tough course play, he had made 7 of 8 CUTS, scoring a Top 30 in 5 of those events. That kind of consistency, with the mix of weaker competition this weekend is a perfect place to get plus money.

#4- Will Gordon Top 20 +335

Gordon’s the type of player you want on this course. He ranks 23^rd in driving distance, 14^th in greens in regulation percentage, and 17^th with 4.31 birdies per round. If he can stay on the fairways, where he has struggled, and find consistency, I like Gordon to pay off big here. He has finished 21^st or better in 4 of his last 6 events and now gets a diminished field. He was CUT here last year which helps his odds, but I think he can squeeze in a Top 20 this year.

#3- Sam Burns Top 30 +140

Burns will be a popular pick this week with how well he’s been playing and what his current odds of +4500 are. He has finished in the Top 30 in 3 straight events and finished T7th here last year. He’s also made 8 of the last 10 CUTs and ranks 10^th in driving distance, another advantage at this course.

#2- Henrik Norlander Top 20 +275

One of my favorite golfers continues to get no respect with the odds, so we’ll keep the money coming in. He shot a 6 under last weekend in round 2, which was one of the best scores all weekend and ended up in 6^th place overall. He has finished in the top 12 in 2 of his last 3 events and continues his hot streak this weekend in Minneapolis.

#1- Harris English Top 20 +175

My favorite last weekend was Webb Simpson who completely imploded, but we were able to make some money with English last week. And if you’ve been betting golf for a while now, you’ve been winning plenty if you’re putting it on English. He’s finished 17 or better in 5 of his last 6 events and has 9 Top 25 finishes of his 14 events this season, including 5 Top 10 finishes. He’s bound to get one and this is the weekend it happens at +3500, but roll with the Top 20 finish as your solid LOCK OF THE WEEKEND! If you’re interested in my other picks of the weekend, please check them out below:

Fleetwood Top 20 +110
Glover Top 20 +125
Redman Top 20 +275
Seiffert Top 40 +163                       
Koepka To Miss Cut +275

Webb Simpson Winner (+2200)
Tiger Woods Winner (+2500)
Leader after 1st Round – Finau (+6600)
Leader after 1st Round – Thomas (+2200)
Horschel Top 10 +600
Sabbatini Top 10 +1100
Straka Top 10 +1100
1.Dechambeau/2.Cantlay Straght Forecast +18500
Dahman Top 20 +600

Projected Order to Finish
Winner- 1. Simpson (+2200)
Top 5- 2. Dechambeau (+250)
3. Cantlay (+400)
4. Thomas (+250)
5. Berger (+750)
Top 10- 6. Hovland (+225)
7. Streelman (+500)
8. Sabbatini (+1100)
9. Straka (+1100)
10. Horschel (+600)
Top 20- 11. Johnson (-112)
12. Rahm (+110)
13. Woods (+125)
14. English (+400)
15. Dahman (+600)
16. Ancer (+175)
17. Finau (+225)
18. Morikawa (+110)
19. Woodland (+163)
20. Schauffele (+125)

I know it has been a while since I’ve posted a blog to get my subscribers the best bets out there, but COVID kind of got in the way. But in honor of my boy, Lucas, having his bachelor party this weekend, I have decided to give my subscribers FREE MONEY! That’s right, I give the bets, you make the bets, we all win money. Today, we’re placing the five best bets on The Memorial Tournament. Let’s get to it!

#5 – Kevin Streelman Top 20 +225

In 18 events this year, Streelman has been cut in 10 of them. However, he also has 4 top 10 finishes, including in each of his last 2 events (Finished 2nd and 7th). Last year he finished 4th in this tournament and that 7th place finish in his last event, oh yeah, that was the same course. Back to back top 10 finishes at this course while he is hot make +225 in the top 20 a steal. In fact, with odds of +500, a Top 10 bet might not be such a bad idea. Oh, and he is a Duke graduate, so you know, he is a champion.

#4- Daniel Berger Top 20 +200

In the two events Berger has played in since the return to play, he has finished 1st (Charles Schwab Challenge with -15) and 3rd (RBC Heritage with -20). He has shot a 71 or better in 32 straight rounds, including 10 straight rounds below 70. These are his finishes in his last 8 events from latest to most recent: 17, 38, 29, 9, 5, 4, 1, 3. This dude is primed for another Top 10 finish (which have odds of +400), but with +200 odds at a Top 20 for extra cushion with still plus money, I like that a lot.

#3- Harris English Top 30 +275

Feel free to go Top 20 (+400) or even Top 40 (+175) which both still return plus money, but here is why I like the Top 30 bet. Of his 13 events this season, he has finished top 25 in 8 of those, including 5 Top 10 finishes. He has finished in the Top 20 in 4 of his last 5 events. In his last event he shot a -15 with a 64 on in the final round. He’s been known to struggle, posting a couple 74 rounds here and there, but if he can be more consistent, the payoff here will be worth it.

#2- Webb Simpson Top 10 +275

In 6 of his last 8 events, Simpson has finished in the Top 10, with 4 of those being in the Top 3! He was CUT in the Charles Schwab Challenge to resume play after COVID shut the tour down, but followed that up with a win in the RBH Heritage with a -22 and 8th in the Rocket Mortgage Classic with a -15. So, yes, he is shooting 37 under par in his last 8 rounds of golf. If you take out his CUT, he is averaging a finish of 11.8th place and if you take out his 61st place finish in Mexico, he is averaging a 3.6th place finish in the other 6 events. He is my pick to Win (+2200), but Top 5 (+550) also brings rewards, but Top 10 is a lock with such great odds.

#1- Bryson DeChambeau Top 20 -175

All eyes on Bryson this weekend (I mean, if Tiger weren’t there). This guy has been the most consistent, on fire player on the tour. His season began being CUT at the Greenbrier, but since; here are his finishes from latest to most recent: 13, 4, 52, 5, 2, 4, 3, 8, 6, 1. Is that good? It seems good. He has finished in the Top 10 (+138) in 7 in a row with 5 of those being Top 5 (+250), both worth betting looks. But for sheer LOCK OF THE WEEKEND, we’ll go Top 20 and drown ourselves with the money.

Stay tuned for my long shot post later on. Happy bacheloring it up!

NEVERMIND – CORONA

St. Johns vs Creighton (-5.5) 12 PM

The Bluejays are 10-2 SU and ATS in their last 12 games, but one of their losses was a 20-point loss at St. John’s on March 1^st. While St. John’s has improved lately, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 8 of the Bluejays last 10 wins have come by double digits. I like the consistency of Creighton a little more than St. John’s.

Michigan (-3) vs Rutgers 12 PM ***BEST BET

It appears we can bet on Rutgers games nowadays, and if we had bet on them to cover in their last 3 games, we would have won. Still, they are just 6-7 SU in their last 13 games which includes 2 wins against Purdue and wins against Northwestern and Nebraska. The Wolverines are 8-4 SU and ATS in their last 12 games which includes an 8-point win at Rutgers as a 4-point underdog. In games they win, they are 16-3 ATS and in games they lose, they are 0-12 ATS, meaning the moneyline is obsolete. Take the experience of the Wolverines to cover this small spread.

Ohio vs Akron (-3.5) 12 PM

It’s my favorite team to bet on. No, not Akron this time! The Bobcats are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games, and have covered in 7 straight. The Zips are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Not so fast again! The Zips have still won 8 of their last 9 and while the Bobcats have covered in 14 of 18, they are only 9-9 SU in those games. This spread is more reasonable to the Zips to cover this time! I advise just staying away from this one like it’s the plague, or……

Clemson vs Florida State (-6.5) 12:30 PM

Despite the Tigers covering yesterday, they weren’t all that impressive. Sure, the Tigers upset the Seminoles back on Leap Day, but that rarely happens anyways (like once every 4 years). The Seminoles crushed them by 19 earlier in the season, and I see this one going more like that game. Seminoles will be more focused and will get a big win here.

Texas Tech vs Texas (+7) 12:30 PM

The Longhorns had won and covered in 5 straight games before getting obliterated at home to Oklahoma State by 22 points in their season finale. While Texas Tech has the experience after last years tournament run, they are just 2-5 SU and ATS in their final 7 games, including a 10-point loss at home to the Longhorns. I think the Red Raiders are the better team overall, but 7 points seems like a lot for a team that has not been playing all that great lately.

Alabama vs Tennessee (+1.5) 1 PM

The Tide are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games and are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Vols are just 9 games removed from beating Kentucky in Rupp, yet are an underdog to Alabama? I’ll take the points.

Sacramento State (ML, Under 128.8 Parlay) vs Weber State 11:30 AM

Weber State has lost 5 of their last 7 games. They are just 4-11 ATS away from home as an underdog. Sacramento State is 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games, and each of their last 3 wins have been by double digits. Their 9^th ranked scoring defense in the country is no match for Weber State. However, their 335^th scoring offense is why I will also be taking the Under.  

Miami vs Clemson (-4) 12 PM

The Tigahs have been wildly inconsistent down the stretch. Two puzzling losses to ACC bottom feeder Georgia Tech, as well as 12 point loss to lousy Virginia Tech have people scratching their heads. But they also had wins against Louisville and Florida State this month. Miami sits as the 9 seed in the tournament. However, they are just 3-9 ATS against teams seeded 1-8 in the ACC Tournament.

Utah vs Oregon State (-4) 3 PM

Utah is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games away from home and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Meanwhile, the Beavers have covered their last 3 games as a favorite, and are 12-7 ATS as a favorite overall. The Beavers won the last meeting by 19 and should get the win and cover here.

4.5 Point Teaser:
Washington vs Arizona (-1) 5:30 PM
Depaul vs Xavier (-2) 9:30 PM
Washington State vs Colorado (-4) 11:30 PM

The Huskies are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games, but have covered 3 of their last 4 games down the stretch, including two outright wins at Arizona State and at Arizona. The Wildcats were a 10.5 point favorite, and ended up losing to the Huskies by 6. They won the first matchup, but by only 3. The Wildcats are 1-4 SU and ATS in their final 5 games. These are the reasons I don’t like this bet, but I’m still going Wildcats to win outright.

Depaul has lost 15 of their last 18 games and it is only getting worse. Their last 5 losses are by 29, 20, 11, 18 and 38! Xavier has won 6 of their last 10 games and beat the Blue Demons twice this season already by 8 and 11.

The Cougars have lost 9 of their last 12 games, and two of those wins came against rival Washington. They lost by 22 the first time they played the Buffaloes back in January. The Buffaloes are on a 4 game losing streak, but that snaps tonight against an awful Cougars team.

Northwestern vs Minnesota (ML, Over 136.5 Parlay; MIN -4.5 1^st Half) 6 PM

The Wildcats lost 12 in a row, but have won 2 of their last 3, including an upset against Penn State. The other an overtime win vs Nebraska. The Gophers are 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games, but their 3 wins have been by 18, 26 and 32. The win by 26 was against these Wildcats. In fact, in the two games these two teams played, the Gophers led by 9 and 16 at halftime. In Northwestern’s last 6 losses, 5 were by 9 or more, while their average margin of defeat is 16.5 points per loss during that span. Trends say to take the Gophers spread, but I’ll add the moneyline to parlay with the Over. The over hit in each of the first two meetings, with totals of 145 and 140. The Wildcats have scored 80+ in 3 games this season, twice in their last 3 games. I’m not saying they’ll score 80, but should be able to contribute enough to get to the over.

Boston College (+9) vs Notre Dame 7 PM

The Eagles were 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their final 7 games and were 7-13 in conference play this season. Those 13 losses were by an average of 16.8 points per loss, with 10 of those 13 losses by double digits. However, the Irish have won by double digits just twice in conference play; home wins against Miami and Wake Forest. Although the Eagles have been crushed this season, not against the Irish. These teams split their two games, and both were decided by just a single point.

Iowa State vs Oklahoma State (-6.5) 7 PM

The Cyclones are 3-9 SU and ATS in their last 12 games, losing those 9 games by an average of 16.2 points per loss, including a 12-point loss to the Cowboys. The Cowboys are playing their best ball all season, going 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. This revamped Cowboys will play inspired and get the cover.

Nebraska vs Indiana (To Make Tournament -200) 8:25 PM

Nebraska is horrible, literally starting offensive linemen in this game. But yes, IU has not shown up to a Big Ten Tournament game in quite some time. There’s no doubt in my mind IU will win this game. But a -1430 ML just won’t cut it. But if you think they just need to beat Nebraska to get in to the tournament, which I do, then why not take the savings and bet IU to make the tournament for 7 times cheaper. That is quite the value. The Hoosiers do not have any bad losses and their only chance for one is against the Cornhuskers tonight. That just is not happening.

Check in with me for further bets regarding this specific game. I will bet over/under, spread, halves, etc.

Kansas State vs TCU (-2) 9 PM

The Huskies are 1-16 SU as an underdog and 3-15 SU in conference play. They simply don’t know how to win. While the Horned Frogs are no juggernaut, they have won 3 of their last 7, including upset wins against West Virginia and Baylor.

Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest (+2) 4:30 PM

The Panthers have lost their last 7 games of the regular season and are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. These two teams faced off only once this season, a 4 point road victory as a 6.5 point underdog for Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons were 9-5 ATS down the stretch, including straight up wins as an underdog against Clemson, North Carolina, Notre Dame and Duke. Wrong team favored here.

 North Carolina (-4.5) vs Virginia Tech 7 PM

Obviously, a disappointing year for the Tar Heels. No one would have expected they would end up dead last in the ACC, but here we are. They had losing streaks of 4, 5 and 7 at different points in the season. But they were able to win and cover in the 3 previous games before getting beat by Duke in Cameron Indoor Stadium by 13.  I think Virginia Tech, too, had a disappointing season. Beating Michigan State in Maui seemed like a big step for the program, but they finished just 7-13 in conference play, including losing 10 of their last 12 games. In fact, they were just 2-12 ATS in their final 14 games. I’ll take the slightly improved Tar Heels to cover this reasonable spread.

UIC vs Northern Kentucky (-4.5) 7 PM

Here were the results of the first two meetings between these two teams:
1/10 Northern Kentucky 68 @ UIC 52
2/16 UIC 73 @ Northern Kentucky 43
In other words, the road team has obliterated the home team. So what happens on a neutral court?
Northern Kentucky appears to be more consist long term, going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games while UIC has not covered 4 in a row all season. They have currently covered 3 in a row, and that trend should continue. Book Northern Kentucky as a 15 seed as they get the win here in the Championship.

Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga (-9) 9 PM

The Bulldogs almost lost to San Francisco and Saint Mary’s is playing their best ball after upsetting BYU in the semis. Does this spread seem high to you? Actually, no. They are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, but were favored by 10+ in 8 of those games. They are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a single digit favorite or underdog, including a 30 point win at Saint Marys.  Before Gonzaga’s 4 point win vs. San Francisco, 12 of their previous 13 wins were by double digits, including both games against the Gaels. The Gaels themselves have not been a great bet, going just 3-6 ATS in their last 9. Don’t be surprised when the Bulldogs win this one big.

Air Force vs Fresno State (-5.5) 3 PM

Air Force is 2-10 SU and 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games. That includes two straight up and spread losses to Fresno State in which they lost by 9 and 11. In those 10 losses in their last 12 games, all were by 6 points or more.

Florida (-2.5) @ Georgia 7 PM

The Gators have won 6 of their last 9 games. All 6 wins by 6 points or more. They beat Georgia at home by 6 the last time these two teams faced off. Georgia has been playing better, winning 3 of their last 4. But overall have only won 5 of their last 16. There is a chance the Bulldogs pull off the upset, but when the spread is this low, I tend to side with the better team regardless home or away.

Saint Louis (-2.5) @ George Mason 7 PM

The Billikens are 4-2 SU and ATS in their last 6 games. They have won those games by an average of points per win, including upset wins vs VCU and at Rhode Island. They hung tight with Dayton, but fell short by 6, covering the 14-point spread. The Patriots are 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games and just don’t match up well against the Billikens who are making a push for the big dance.

Florida State (-1.5) @ Notre Dame 9 PM

The Seminoles are half a game behind Louisville for first place in the ACC and are ranked 7^th in the country. The Irish have won 7 of their last 10 games to get to 6^th in the ACC with a 9-9 conference record. However, they are 0-5 SU against the top 5 teams in the ACC. The Seminoles are 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+7.5) @ Orlando Magic

The Timberwolves had lost 18 of 19 games before going into Miami and winning on Wednesday. Their other win during that stretch was a 27 point win against the Clippers; go figure. However, in their last 20 games, they have only played 5 teams with a losing record. Although they were 0-5 SU and ATS, the margin of loss in those games were, 7, 4, 4, 7 and 7. The Magic have won 4 of 5, but are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. I don’t think either of these teams are good enough to be favored by this much, even at home. Take the Wolves.

Brooklyn Nets (-3) @ Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks defense is so bad. They have allowed 126.7 ppg over their last 7 games.  These teams have already played 3 times, with the Nets going 3-0 SU and ATS with wins by 12, 10 and 22. Despite their losing record, the Nets still hold the 7 seed in the East and want this one more.

Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors (-14)

The Hornets have won 4 of 6 games. However, their two losses are by 29 at home to Brooklyn and by 39 at Indiana. In fact, their last 10 losses are by 12+ points with an average margin of loss of 19.9 points per loss in those 10 games. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with winning records. Oh, and the Raptors are good.

Dallas Mavericks (ML) @ Miami Heat

Luka is questionable for this game, but I think I still like the Mavericks. The Heat have just not been the same team lately. They are just 2-7 SU and ATS in their last 9 games, with their only two wins against the Warriors and the Cavs. The only two games against teams with winning records during this stretch are against the Clippers (L by 17) and the Jazz (L by 15). That means they were 2-5 against teams with losing records. Either way you look at it, that sucks.

Sacramento Kings (+3.5) @ Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight games since returning from the all-star break, all on the road. They were 0-4 ATS and the margin of loss kept increasing: 4, 12, 27, and 28. Now the Kings come to Memphis with a 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games including covering in 4 straight and 6 of 8 on the road. Not my favorite bet, but until Memphis turns things around, I’ll fade.

Oklahoma City Thunder (+10.5) @ Milwaukee Bucks

Should we just bet the Bucks like we always do and move on? Ahhh, not so fast. The Thunder are 13-1 SU and ATS in their last 14 road games. The Bucks are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 home games. You know, the Thunder at +425 ML sounds kind of intriguing, so I’ll gladly take the double digit points here.

Cleveland Cavaliers (+12.5) @ New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans are 6-0 SU and ATS against teams with losing records since Zion’s debut with an average margin of victory 16 points per win, including a 14 point win in Cleveland on January 28^th. However, the Cavs have won 4 of their last 5 and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. Wish this spread was a little lower, but seems a bit high.

Detroit Pistons (+8.5) @ Phoenix Suns

The Pistons have lost 7 straight, but are 3-4 ATS in those losses. Their last win came on February 5^th at home to, oh hey, the Suns. The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. They are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and are now favored by 8.5? No way. Give me the Pistons despite how bad they are.

Washington Wizards (+10.5) @ Utah Jazz

The Jazz are 0-4 SU and ATS since returning from the break and are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are 3-5 ATS as a double digit favorite and have failed to cover in this situation in 3 straight. The Wizards are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games and think with the style the Jazz have been playing, I’ll take the points.

Denver Nuggets (+6) @ LA Clippers

This is only the second time in 2020 the Clippers have hosted a team with a winning record. They were able to beat the struggling Heat by 17 in that game. The last time before that was 13 point loss to Utah on December 28^th. Dating back to mid November, the Clippers are just 1-5 ATS at home against a team with a winning record. The Nuggets have won 10 of 14 and think they can keep this one close.

Indiana @ Purdue (PUR -6, 129.5) 7 PM

Look, the Hoosiers have won 3 of 4 and covered in 3 of 4 as well. The heat come in on the Hoosiers because of expectations, but what about the Boilers? They are just 5-9 SU and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. They have lost 4 games in a row, including two straight at the all mighty Mackey Arena. The Hoosiers cover and win outright for karma for all the IU sucks on kickoffs. I like the Over tonight as well. The Over is 8-2 in Purdue’s last 10 games overall and 7-1 in Purdue’s last 8 home games. This is also only the third time this season an IU game total is under 130 in which the Over is 2-1 in those games.

Final Score Prediction: Indiana 74 Purdue 69
Best Bet: IU +6
Confidence: 4 Units

Illinois @ Northwestern (ILL -6, 133) 8 PM

The Wildcats are just 1-16 SU and 7-10 ATS in their last 17 games and are currently on a 11 game losing streak in which they have lost by an average of 13.8 points per loss and have lost by more than 6 in 8 of those 11 losses. They are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Illini are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games and like everyone else, should have no problem against this terrible Northwestern team.

Final Score Prediction: Illinois 75 Northwestern 62
Best Bet: ILL -6
Confidence: 3.5 Units

Temple @ Wichita State (-9.5, 137.5) 8 PM

The Shockers defense has been strong lately, allowing 58 points or less in 3 of their last 4 and allowing just 63.2 ppg over their last 9 games. Defensively they rank 32^nd in scoring and 8^th in opponent’s effective field goal percentage. That’s a problem for Temple who rank 203th in scoring and 309^th in effective field goal percentage. Although the Owls defense ranks 131^st in scoring, they rank 42^nd in opponent effective field goal percentage, an area the Shockers struggle in ranking 301^st. Two teams that rank 300^th or worse in effective field goal percentage should not have a total this high. The total in their last meeting was 118 despite the same 137.5 total. The Under is 7-3 in Temple’s 10 road games while the Under is 8-3 in Wichita State’s last 11 overall.

Final Score Prediction: Temple 56 Wichita State 67
Best Bet: Under 137.5
Confidence: 3 Units

New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers (PHI -6, 211.5) 7:10 PM

The big question here is how the 76ers will play with their two most productive players, Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons, out for the near future. They are both top 4 in team categories of points, rebounds and assists.  Last night, they lost 108-94 in Cleveland, a team with the exact same record as the Knicks. The top three scorers for the Sixers in that contest were Shake Milton (20), Furkan Korkmaz (14) and Alec Burks (13)…yeah, who?!?! The Knicks lost last night in Charlotte but are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games. I don’t like either of these teams, but given what the Sixers have without their top two stars, I don’t think I could lay these points, even in Philadelphia.

Final Score Prediction: Knicks 98 76ers 102

Best Bet: NYK +6
Confidence: 1 Unit

Portland Trailblazers @ Indiana Pacers (IND -9.5, 218.5) 8:10 PM

The Over is 6-1 in the Trailblazer’s last 7 road games while the Over is 6-3 in the Pacer’s last 9 home games. The Trailblazers rank in the top 9 in scoring offense and bottom 6 in scoring defense. The Over is 9-2 when the Pacers play a bottom 6 defense and 7-5 when they play a top 9 offense. The Trailblazers have allowed 118.8 ppg over their last 9 games. The over exceeded the total by 47.5 points the last time these two played as the Trailblazers beat the Pacers 139-129. I like the over.

Final Score Prediction: Trailblazers 109 Pacers 121

Best Bet: Over 218.5
Confidence: 3.5 Units

Sacramento Kings @ Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC -6.5, 222) 8:10 PM

The Kings have been playing great basketball lately, going 9-4 SU and ATS in their last 13 games. They have won 4 of their last 6 games outright as a road underdog. The Thunder have been playing well too, but for longer, going 23-8 SU and 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games. Here’s a weird stat: the Kings have scored between 111 and 113 point in 6 of their last 9 games and have scored 115.4 ppg over their last 12 games. The Thunder have scored 123 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games while the Kings have allowed 123 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games. I’m torn on this one because the Kings have not scored more than 100 in either contest against the Thunder this season, but both teams are playing at a higher pace lately.

Final Score Prediction: Kings 107 Thunder 118

Best Bet: Over 222
Confidence: 2 Units

Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors (LAL -10, 222) 10:40 PM

Let’s narrow these teams down to just 2020. Since the new year, the Lakers are 18-5 SU and 12-11 ATS with 11 wins by double digits. The Warriors, who do not have Steph Curry back, are 3-20 SU and 10-13 ATS and have lost 13 games by double digits. They are currently on a 7 game losing streak in which they have lost by an average of 18 ppg. Sure they covered a 14 point spread only losing by 5 against the Lakers 3 weeks ago today, but that’s not happening again.  In the first meeting, the Lakers blew the Warriors out by 26. That sounds more plausible.

Final Score Prediction: Lakers 122 Warriors 106

Best Bet: LAL -10
Confidence: 3 Units