I like 8 of the 9 favorites on the NBA slate tonight. Be advised, I don’t feel great about some of these, but we go where the money takes us. Happy Betting!!!

Cleveland @ Washington (-6)

The Wizards have covered 5 of their last 7 games and now host a Cavs team that’s lost 6 games by double digits since January 20th, including a 12-point loss against the Wizards in Cleveland. The Wizards aren’t a great team, but with Bradley Beal, they’re at least 6 points better than the Cavs.

Dallas (-4.5) @ Orlando 

The Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, which include 4 games without Luka (3-1 ATS on the road). He returned and the put a beat down on Sacramento by 19 points. Now they travel to Mickey’s World where the Magic have not been so magical lately. There are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 overall. 

Indiana (-6.5) @ New York 

It usually isn’t a good idea to bet on the Knicks, but didn’t they just beat the Pacers by 7 on the road a few weeks ago? The Pacers only won by 1 the last time these two played at MSG. The Knicks have covered in 9 of their last 13 games overall. However, the Knicks are coming off an 18-point loss at home to Washington. Just stay away from this game all together, but if you got to, give some love to the Cers.

Phoenix @ Toronto (-8)

The following all occurred in an 8 day span between Feb 2-10 for the Suns. L @ Milwaukee by 21, L @ Brooklyn by 22, W at Houston by 36, L @ LA Lakers by 25. The Raptors snapped a 15 game winning streak in their last game before the break in Brooklyn. During the winning streak, they were 10-5 ATS and won 7 games by double digits. If I could bet a push here, I might. Just not sure, so I just side with the home team. Another stay away game if you ask me.

Denver (+1) @ Oklahoma City 

The Nuggets are 14-8 ATS in 2020 and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall. They won 5 of their last 7 games outright as a road underdog. The Thunder have covered just once in their last five times at home. The Nuggets won by 8 the last time they visited the Thunder, and I think they win again tonight. 

Boston (-7.5) @ Minnesota

The Celtics are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. The Timberwolves are a little worse, going 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games. However, they have lost by exactly 7 points in 6 of those 16 games (37.5% of the time). I tend to side with the Celtics but might want to pay for the extra half point. Maybe a better bet while we’re here…Celtics to win the Eastern Conference at +700…just a thought

San Antonio @ Utah (-7)

The Spurs will play their 7th straight road game. When I get to Texas tomorrow, I will have spent the same number of days in that state as the Spurs. Yikes! They are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on their current road trip including 2 20+ point losses. The Jazz go on some weird streaks of covering/not covering. First 28 games: 11-17 ATS; Next 17 games 14-3 ATS; Next 7 games 0-7 ATS. But now they have covered in each of their last 3 games! Weird…go with the Jazz? 

New Orleans (-5.5) @ Portland 

The Pelicans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1 ATS as a road favorite this season. These two teams faced off 10 days ago, when the Trailblazers traveled to New Orleans and got beat by 21. In fact the Trailblazers are 0-3 SU and ATS against the Pelicans this season and have lost every game by a least 8 points. Zion puts up 30 (prop at 22.5) and the Pelicans get the W.

Memphis @ LA Lakers (-10.5)

The Grizzlies are 8-5 SU in their last 13 games. In those 5 losses, they have lost by 10, 24, 28, 12 and 4. Essentially, if they lose, they lose big. Lakers are an even 5-5 ATS at home or as a favorite of more than 10 in their last 10 games in those situations. I’ll side with the Lakers in this one then to blow out the Griz. 

***Bonus Player Props:

Gordon Heyward Over 6.5 Rebounds

The Timberwolves are missing, either from trade or injury, 5 of their top 6 rebounders on the year! Heyward has 7+ rebounds in 8 straight games and has averaged 8.9 rebounds during that stretch. 

Zion Williamson Over 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Like I said before, Zion’s putting up 30 points so this should be an easy one. He has at least 20 points in 8 of his 10 games, at least 6 rebounds in 9 of his 10 games and at least 2 assists in 5 of his 10 games. At a minimum that puts him at 28. He’s being more and more involved as the season goes on and he’s one of their best players. In a game that has a 238.5 total, the highest on the slate, this should be an easy hit for the young star.

Victor Oladipo Over 15.5 Points

No, I don’t like this one, but I know you want a Pacer’s prop. If this hits, it would be his season high. I think they turn him loose post all-star break and I mean, it is the Knicks. He’s scored 13, 15, 12, and 13 without playing 30 minutes in his last 4 game games. 

As a courtesy to my followers for being away for two weeks, and for preparation for missed time as I am in Texas where I can not place bets, I am providing you with a pick for every major game on the slate tonight. Enjoy!

Ohio State (+2.5) @ Iowa

The Buckeyes are playing their best basketball of the season lately, going 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 games. They cracked the Top 25 for the first time in a month. Although the Hawkeyes are 12-1 at home this season, they are 1-3 this season against the current top 25. I’m siding with the slightly hotter team on the road tonight.

Oregon State (+10.5) @ Arizona  

This the first time the Beavers are double digit underdogs which is surprising since they have lost by double digits 5 times already this season. Arizona has been a double digit favorite 15 times already this season, going 8-7 ATS in those games. I don’t feel good about it, but I’m going to side with the Beavers who handed the Wildcats their biggest loss earlier in the season by beating them by 17 on their home court.

Michigan State (-12) @ Nebraska

The Spartans have lost 4 of their last 5 and have not covered in any of those games, But to be fair, their last 5 games were against team in Kenpom’s top 40. Nebraska currently sits at 136 in those rankings. The last 5 games the Spartans have played against team below 100 in these ratings; W by 23, W by 5, W by 53, W by 33 and W by 29. The Cornhuskers have lost 10 in a row and are actually worse at home than on the road. They are 6-3 ATS on the road but just 4-9 ATS at home. Sparty gets back on track tonight.

Oregon @ Arizona State (+2)

The Ducks are 2-4 ATS as a road favorite this season and failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 on the road overall which does not bode well for them tonight. The Sun Devils have won 7 of their last 8 games and 5 straight Pac-12 games for the first time since 2009. Bob Hurley will have this team fired up and ready to play.

USC (+9.5) @ Colorado

The Trojans are a covering machine in this spot tonight. They are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games, 8-1 ATS on the road, 6-1 ATS as a road underdog. The Buffaloes are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and haven’t covered at home since January 25^th. With this many points and these kinds of trends, the Trojans are one of my favorite plays of the night.

Stanford @ Washington UNDER 131.5

Stanford was sitting pretty on January 15^th, picking up their 15^th win on the season to begin the year 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS. However, in the 8 games since, they are just 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS. Similarly, the Huskies began their season hot. In fact, they are the only team to beat the Baylor Bears this year. They began the season 10-2 SU and 7-5 ATS. Since, they are a woeful 2-12 SU and ATS. They are 0-8 SU and ATS in their last 8 games. Since you can’t beat that both teams lose, I’m just going to assume neither team will know how to score. The Under has cashed in 9 of the Huskies last 13 games and while the Under is 8-17 overall for Stanford.

UCLA @ Utah (-3.5)

The Bruins have actually played pretty well lately, going 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games. The last time these two teams faced off, the Bruins handed the Utes a 16-point loss. However, that was on the road where the Utes have struggled this season where they are just 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS. At home is a different story, where they are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS. Also a fun side note: The Utes won a game by 94 points this season in their 143-49 victory versus Miss Valley State.

Milwaukee (-13.5) @ Detroit

The NBA is back tonight and so is Giannis and so is the Buck’s trend of beating teams to a pulp. Before the Gainnisless night in Indy, the Bucks had won 14 of their last 15 games with 12 of those wins by double digits and an average margin of victory of 15.7 points per win. The Pistons have lost 10 of their last 12 games with 7 of those losses by double digits. This is a team that lost to the Cavaliers at home by 15. They should be scared tonight.

Miami @ Atlanta (+6.5)

Tough schedule for the Heat as they play their 6^th straight road game despite 8 days in between games. They are just 1-4 SU and ATS on this current road trip. The Hawks are 6-5 SU and 7-4 ATS at home in 2020 and have won 4 of their last 5 home games overall. I think they can keep this close.

Charlotte (+4.5) @ Chicago

The Bulls entered the All-Star break going 1-6 SU and ATS in their last 7 games. Charlotte on the other hand won and covered in their final two games before the break, both road victories, to halt losing 13 of their previous 14 games. The Hornets are 2-1 against the Bulls this season including a 10-point victory in Chicago while covering in each of the 3 matchups.

Brooklyn @ Philadelphia (-8)

The Nets have been playing much better lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and covering in 8 of those games, including covering in 5 straight. However, they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, including an 11-point loss in Philly on January 15^th. The 76ers are just a tough team at home where they are 25-2 SU 17-10 ATS. Consider using 76ers ML at -315 to boost another one of your bets.

Memphis (-1.5) @ Sacramento

The Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the NBA and in Vegas. Since the calendar turned to 2020, they are 15-5 SU and 14-6 ATS, including 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Kings have been a 3-point or less underdog in each of their last 3 home games in which they won, thus covering, in all 3 games. I think I’ll still side with the Grizzlies, as I think they have more to play for to hold on to that 8^th seed, they will want to come out of the break a little more focused.

Houston (-10) @ Golden State

Aren’t we glad NBA is back in action? It feels like Christmas day! Well, maybe not for the Rockets who got thumped by this god awful team on Jesus’ birthday. Since, the Warriors have won just 4 times and have lost by double digits 11 times while the Rockets have won 13 games and have won by double digits 8 times. Surely the Rockets will be more focused tonight, right?

Auburn @ Georgia (AUB -3.5, 149.5) 7 PM

Auburn is a small favorite on the road here against a far lesser talented team in large part because they just lost by 12 on the road as a 3.5 point favorite to a far lesser talented Missouri team. However, they had won their previous 7 games before that loss. The Bulldogs have lost 11 of their last 13 games which includes a 22 point loss the last time they played Auburn. The Tigers rank 5^th in offensive rebounds per game while the Bulldogs rank 323^rd in offensive rebounds allowed per game. The Bulldogs also shoot just 29.9% from 3 which ranks 318^th. This is just a mismatch all around and I see Auburn covering this way too low of a spread.

Bet: AUB -3.5
Confidence: 4 Units
Result:

Villanova @ DePaul (NOVA  -4.5, 140.5) 9 PM

The Wildcats skidded by losing 3 close games in a row to begin the month. However, they were able to prevail against Marquette followed u by a 20 point thumping against in state rival Temple on Sunday. They are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 road games.  DePaul has lost 11 of their last 12 games in which they have covered just 4 times. They are coming off a 29 point blowout loss at Creighton and have lost 5 of their last 6 home games by an average margin of defeat of 9 points per loss. Even if DePaul were to somehow get an early lead, they rank 330th in free throw percentage and 305th in turnovers per game. On the other side, Villanova ranks 13th in free throw percentage and 11th in turnovers per game. Similar to the game above, Villanova is just too far superior that even being on the road, they should dominate.

Bet: NOVA -4.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result:

Good luck, let’s win some money $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

IT’S GOOD TO BE BACK! LET’S JUMP RIGHT IN!

Akron @ Western Michigan (AKR -8, 141) 7 PM

That’s right, I’m back on the Zips. Akron has covered 8 of 9 on the road this season. The one they did not cover was a 2 point win at Ohio in which they were favored by 5 (Yes, this is the game they lead by 16 at halftime and didn’t cover!). Let’s hope that doesn’t happen again. Roll Zips!

Bet: AKR -8
Confidence: 2 Units
Result:

Big Ten Parlay Special!!!

Illinois @ Penn State (PSU -6.5, 141.5) 6:30 PM

These are two teams going in opposite directions.  The Illini have lost 4 in a row and are 1-3 ATS in those games. They have lost by an average of 8 points in those games. The Nitty Lions, on the other hand, have won 8 in a row and are 8-0 ATS in those games, winning by an average of 11.1 ppg. They are also 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Penn State.

Purdue @ Wisconsin (WISC -4, 121) 7 PM

I agree, Purdue is one of the toughest teams to bet on or against this season. You have to throw all recency bias (and fan rooting bias) out the window when it comes to this team. But there are trends we can look at here to give us a better clue as to what to expect. The Boilers are just 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS on the road this season. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is one of the toughest home teams in the past quarter century. They are 11-1 at home this season and 9-1 as a home favorite. I’ll side with the Badgers….which probably means Purdue by 50.

Northwestern @ Maryland (MD -14, 129.5) 8 PM

Ok, this is an easy one. But might as well juice up the odds, even if it is just a little. The Wildcats have lost 9 in a row by an average of 13 points per loss. The Terrapins have won 8 in a row, including coming off a road win at Michigan State, and have lost just twice since December 15^th.  Take the freebie and side with Maryland

Bet: PSU ML/ WISC ML/MD ML (+119)
Confidence: 3 Units
Result:

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs (KC -1.5, 53) 6:30 PM

Both these teams are so evenly matched, which is essentially why this game is a pick ‘em. I have gone back and forth with this one and have decided that if it comes down to the 4^th quarter and these teams are tied, I’d rather have the better quarterback. I trust Patrick Mahomes more to make plays for his team, so I am crowning the Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Champions. Final Score Prediction: 49ers 27 Chiefs 34

Bet: KC -1.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result:

Below are my list of prop bets and their payouts…enjoy:

Coin Toss Heads & KC ML & Total Over 54.5          $7.50
Coin Toss Tails                                                                   $2.48
Coin Toss Winner: KC                                                      $1.49
Opening kickoff a touchback: YES                              $2.40
SF First kickoff results in a touchback: YES              $1.00

J. Garoppolo First Completion Over 8.5 Yards       $1.90
P. Mahomes First Completion Over 9.5 Yards       $0.95
First to 20 points: KC                                                       $2.20
First to call Timeout: KC                                                 $1.90
First team to score: KC                                                   $1.10
First TD Scorer jersey # Over 26.5                              $2.15
First Scorer to be a TE                                                     $2.15
First TD Scorer: R. Mostert                                           $26.00
First TD Scorer: T. Hill                                                      $22.50
First TD Scorer: G. Kittle                                                $27.00
First TD Scorer: T. Kelce                                                 $30.00
First TD Scorer: D. Samuel                                            $22.75
First TD Scorer: T. Coleman                                          $15.00
First TD Scorer: E. Sanders                                            $14.45
First TD Scorer: S. Watkins                                            $14.25
First TD Scorer: P. Mahomes                                       $9.45
First TD Scorer: K. Bourne                                             $8.40
First TD Scorer: D. Robinson                                        $6.20
First TD Scorer: K. Juszczyk                                           $4.60
First TD Scorer: J. Garoppolo                                       $11.04

1^st Quarter Over 9.5 Points                                           $3.05
1^st Quarter Under 1.5 TDs                                             $2.65
Both Teams to Score in 1^st quarter                            $2.05

2^nd Quarter to be highest scoring quarter              $3.25
A Lead Change to occur in the 2^nd Quarter: YES    $1.10

1^st Half Over 26.5                                                              $2.50
1^st Half KC -0.5                                                                   $2.65
1^st Half Total Successful FGs Over 1.5                       $2.80
1^st Half Total TDs Over 2.5                                             $3.95
1^st Half 2-Min. Warning to occur exactly @2: NO $2.15
1^st Half: SF Full Time: KC                                                $2.45

A Safety to be scored: NO                                             $16.05
Any FG or XP to hit an upright: NO                            $2.30
Either team to have successful 2Pt Conv.: YES      $2.55
Either team to score 3 times unanswered: NO    $2.70
Either team to win by exactly 3 points: NO            $1.20
Any quarter to end scoreless: NO                              $1.45
Both Teams to Score in every quarter: YES            $3.75
Either team to miss a FG: NO                                      $3.60
KC to score in both halves: YES                                   $5.35
KC to score in every quarter: YES                               $0.80

Team with longest drive: KC                                        $1.80
Team with longest successful FG: SF                        $1.00
Team to score longest TD: KC                                      $3.10

Total Successful FGs Over 3.5                                      $3.00
Total Yards of longest successful FG Under 47.5 $2.90
Total TDs Over 5.5                                                            $2.20
Total Sacks Over 4.5                                                        $1.90
Total Punts Over 6.5                                                        $1.40
Total Interceptions Under 1.5                                     $2.70

T. Kelce to score & KC to win                                       $1.50
T. Hill to score a 1^st Half TD                                           $1.70
T. Kelce Over 74.5 Receiving Yards                            $2.85
T. Kelce to have most Receiving Yards                     $1.35
T. Kelce anytime TD Scorer                                           $2.70
C. Jones to record a sack                                               $1.45
J. Garoppolo Over 1.5 Passing TDs                             $2.30
J. Garoppolo Over 240.5 Passing Yards                    $4.85
J. Garoppolo Over 19.5 Completions                        $2.25
J. Garoppolo Under 29.5 Pass Attempts                 $1.50
J. Garoppolo Under 36.5 Longest completion       $0.95
P. Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing TDs                             $1.60
P. Mahomes Over 299.5 Passing Yards                    $0.80
P. Mahomes Over 23.5 Completions                        $1.65
P. Mahomes to record longest completed pass   $1.75
P. Mahomes Over 42.5 Longest Completion         $1.20
P. Mahomes Over 0.5 TD passes in 1^st Half             $3.50
G. Kittle Over 5.5 Receptions                                      $1.30
G. Kittle anytime TD Scorer                                          $1.05
R. Mostert Under 77.5 Rushing Yards                       $1.45
R. Mostert anytime TD Scorer                                     $1.40
D. Williams Over 50.5 Rushing Yards                        $3.60
D. Williams Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts                $1.90
D. Samuel Over 13.5 Rushing Yards                           $2.85
T. Coleman to have most rushing yards                   $2.40
E. Sanders Over 40.5 Receiving Yards                       $3.35
K. Juszczyk anytime TD Scorer                                     $1.80
R. Gould Over 7.5 Kicking Points                                $1.90
H.Butker Over 7.5 Kicking Points                                                $1.30


KC Team Total Over 26.5                                               $3.10
SF Team Total Over 26.5                                                $0.75
KC -1.5                                                                                  $9.55
Over 53.5                                                                            $5.25
KC to win by 7-12 points                                               $3.00
Purple Gatorade                                                               $2.60
Patrick Mahomes MVP                                                  $4.95
MVP Awarded to a QB                                                    $1.55

 

Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks (TOR -8, 217.5) 7:40 PM
Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves (HOU -5.5, 234.5) 8:10 PM
Indiana Pacers @ Golden State Warriors (IND -5.5, 214.5) 10:40 PM

We have some money now, thanks to the Hooooooooooosiers! So let’s get back to some NBA action and take a 3 team road parlay.

The Raptors have won 6 of their last 7 games and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. They are 8-0 SU as a road favorite. The Knicks are just 2-9 in their last 11 games, with 4 losses by 23+. Easy win for the Raptors.

I like the Rockets tonight, rather, I don’t like the Timberwolves. The Rockets snapped a 4 game losing streak by beating the Nuggets at home on Wednesday. They have won just 1 of their last 5 road games. However, the Timberwolves are currently on a 7 game losing streak. They have lost those games by an average of 10.6 ppg and are just 1-6 ATS in those games. The Rockets have already beaten this team twice, by 20 and by 30. I’ll gladly side with the Rockets.

I will have a single bet on Pacers -5.5, but for this parlay, we’ll use the money line. The Warriors have lost 12 of their last 13 games. They have scored 100 points or less in 6 of those games and are averaging 105.9 ppg over that span. That’s a problem because their defense has allowed 120+ in 5 of their last 6 games. The Pacers are one of the hottest teams in the league, winning 7 of their last 9 and have won 5 of their last 6 road games.

Bet: TOR ML/HOU ML/IND ML (+165)
Confidence: 3 Units
Result:

Today’s Record:
All-Time Record: 47-44 (51.6%)

Toronto Raptors @ Atlanta Hawks (TOR -9.5, 229.5) 2:40 PM

The Raptors come into this one winning 7 of their last 9 road games. They should have no problem beating the 10-33 Hawks, even on the road. The Raptors offense has been fire lately, scoring 118.3 ppg over their last 7 games while the Hawks have allowed 118.6 ppg over their last 7 games. While the Raptors defense has been generally good this season, they have allowed 110+ points in 4 of their last 5 games. The Over is 6-2 in both the Hawks and Raptors last 8 games. I’ll take a shot at the over again.

Bet: Over 229.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Raptors 122 Hawks 117

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets (HOU -7, 230) 5:10 PM

The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, and while the Thunder are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 overall, they have covered in 11 of their last 12 road games. The Thunder beat the Rockets by 21 at home 11 days ago.  The Rockets have lost outright as a favorite in 4 of their last 5 games. I’ll gladly take the free points.

Bet: OKC +7
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Thunder 112 Rockets 107

LA Lakers @ Boston Celtics (LAL -2.5, 226) 7:40 PM

The Lakers are getting AD back for tonight’s game. The Celtics are appear to be healthy, but have been on 3 game skid and have lost 6 of their last 8. The Lakers are red hot, winning 10 of their last 11 and are 18-3 on the road this including 12-2 as a road favorite. I’ll take the Lakers with the small spread against the struggling Celtics.

Bet: LAL -2.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Lakers 107 Celtics 139

Indiana Pacers @ Utah Jazz (UTA -7, 215) 9:10 PM

The Pacers have been on fire lately, winning 5 straight including last nights big win in Denver. However, the Jazz have been even hotter. They are 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS over their last 18 games overall. They are 7-1 SU and ATS at home in their last 8 in Utah. The Pacers are just 2-4 ATS with no rest and on the west coast could give them some problems.

I will also be taking the Over in this game. The Over is 11-4 in the Pacer’s last 15 games while the Over is 6-1 in the Jazz last 7 games. The Jazz are averaging 123.6 ppg over their last 7 games while the Pacers have scored at least 110 in 7 of their last 10 games.

Bet: UTA -7
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Pacers 88 Jazz 118

Bet: Over 215
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Pacers 88 Jazz 118

Today’s Record: 3-2
All-Time Record: 47-44 (51.6%)

Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs (KC -7, 53) 3:05 PM

Who’s stopping Derrick Henry? Oh, right, nobody. He has run for 100+ in 7 of his last 8 games. That includes 188 against the Chiefs in Week 10. He also ran for 149 against the Colts (5^th best against the run), 103 against the Raiders (6^th best against the run), 182 against the Patriots (8^th best against the run) and 195 against the Ravens (7^th best against the run). The Chiefs rank 26^th against the run so watch out. The dude has 96 carries in his last 3 games.

Derick Henry prop bets:
To Score -200
Over 109.5 Rushing Yards
Over 22.5 Rushing Attempts

Who’s stopping Patrick Mahomes? Oh, right, nobody. In his 3 playoff games, he’s thrown for 894 yards 8 TDs and 0 INTs. If he had not got injured, I think he’d have a case for MVP. 31 TD to 5 INTs in just 14 games this season. Side note…future bet (which isn’t actually available) Mahomes “shatters” the TD passing record. He threw for his second most passing yards in a game in his career the last time these two teams met with 446 yards, 3 TDs and 0 Ints.

Patrick Mahomes prop bets:
Over 302.5 Passing Yards
Over 23.5 Completions

Ok, so obviously we’re also taking the over. No one will stop anyone in this matchup. Chiefs are 26^th against the run and the Titans are 21^st against the pass. Advantage points!

Final Score Prediction: Titans 28 Chiefs 38

Bet: Over 53
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Titans 24 Chiefs 35

*Bonus Prop Bet:

The Titans have made 1 field over their last 10 games. Read that again. Don’t believe me? Go look, I’ll wait……

Yeah! 1 field goal in 10 games!! You think they settle for field goals against the Chiefs?! They are #1 in redzone TD% because they have Hulk at running back and Steve Rogers pre Captain America as their kicker. Meanwhile, the Chiefs will be punching in their touchdowns as the Titans defense ranks 28^th in opposing team’s redzone TD%.

Bet: Under 3.5 Field Goals
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: 1 Field Goal

Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers (SF -7.5. 46.5) 6:40 PM

 Do I actually feel bad for the Packers? Probably not…but I’ve heard things like “worst 13-3 team ever,” and “no shot against the Niners.” Yet, they are 13-3 playing the Niners in the NFC Championship game. I’d take ugly results than no results at all and this team defines that. However, people will look to that 37-8 beat down the last time these two played. Still, Rodgers is the best quarterback on the field and Garoppolo didn’t look that great against Minnesota. I think we see a heavy dose of both running attacks so I will lean the under as well. Final Score Prediction: Packers 20 49ers 23

Bet: Under 46.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Packers 20 49ers 37

Bet: GB +7.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Packers 20 49ers 37

*Bonus Prop Bets:

Garoppolo Under 249.5 Passing Yards
Tevin Coleman Over 40.5 Rushing Yards
Jimmy Graham Under 2.5 Receptions
49ers Over 3.5 Sacks

Playoff Record: 4-8
All-Time Record: 23-35 (39.7%)

Conor McGregor (-335) vs Donald Cerrone 12:30 AM

McGregor has been out of the octagon for 15 months. But did you know he gave up drinking to train for this fight? An Irishman?!?! Dude’s a freak, use the +100 odds boost on Draftkings ($20 max) and get your free money.

Bet: McGregor
Confidence: 6 Units
Result: McGregor 1st Rd TKO

Today’s Record: 1-0
All-Time Record: 1-0 (100%)

Baylor @ Oklahoma State (BAY -6, 125) 12 PM

Since December 1^st, the Cowboys are 2-7 SU and ATS, losing those 7 games by an average of 17 points per loss. They have lost 4 in a row to begin 2020, including a 14 point home loss to West Virginia and a 12 point home loss to Texas. In comes the #2 team in the country who has won 13-0 SU and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. While playing on the road in conference play can be a challenge for some teams, not the Baylor Bears. They proved they can win on the road by beating Texas Tech and Kansas on their opponents floors. The Cowboys will continue to struggle and this one could get ugly.

Bet: BAY -6
Confidence: 4 Units
Result: Baylor 75 Oklahoma State 68

West Virginia @ Kansas State (WV -6, 124) 2 PM

In a very similar game, the Mountaineers travel to Kansas State as 6 point favorites. Like the Cowboys, the Wildcats have been horrible lately. In their last 12 games they are 3-9 SU and 2-10 ATS. Meanwhile, West Virginia is 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 games and have won their last 3 games by double digits. This just doesn’t feel like the upset spot so I’ll lay the points.

Bet: WV -6
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: West Virginia 68 Kansas State 84

Purdue @ Maryland (MD -5.5, 125) 2 PM
Houston @ Wichita State (WS -3.5, 138.5) 4 PM

Ok, it’s not a good idea to keep taking road favorites, or road teams in general so we will stay away from that here, and for good reason. The Boilers are coming off an impressive home win against the Spartans. But, the Boilers are just 3-6 ATS after a win 1-4 ATS on the road this season. The Terps are 10-0 SU and 6-4 ATS at home this season, so I expect them to come away with the win here.

 Let’s continue to roll with another home team. Over the last 7 seasons, the Shockers are an impressive 96-7 at home, including 12-0 SU and 8-4 ATS this season. Houston has been playing well lately, but not well enough to go in to Witchita and steal a win.

Bet: Either Tease MD -1.5/WS +0.5 OR Parlay MD -5.5/WS -3.5 OR Single Bets
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Purdue 50 Maryland 57
Houston 65 Wichita State 54

Admittedly, I do like a lot of road teams today, which is scary. So, I will just leave the road teams that I like and you can choose from the list from the ones you like.

Ohio State -1 @ Penn State 12 PM; Ohio State 76 Penn State 90
Florida State -6 @ Miami 1 PM; Florida State 83 Miami 79 OT
Kansas -7 @ Texas 2 PM; Kansas 66 Texas 57
Kentucky +2 @ Arkansas 4 PM; Kentucky 73 Arkansas 66
Northwestern +12 @ Illinois 5 PM; Northwestern 71 Illinois 75
Stanford -2 @ USC 6:30 PM; Stanford 78 USC 82 OT
LSU -4 @ Mississippi 8 PM; LSU 80 Mississippi 76
Virginia +1 @ Georgia Tech 8 PM; Virginia 63 Georgia Tech 58

Today’s Record: 6-5
All-Time Record: 38-28 (57.6%)