Colorado State @ Wyoming (WYO -6.5, 51.5) 9:30 PM

The under has hit in 5 of the last 6 games for Colorado State while the under has hit in 7 of the last 9 games for Wyoming. While the Rams average 29.8 ppg which ranks 55th, the Cowboys only allow 19 ppg which ranks 16th and have held 3 of their last 4 opponents to under 20 points in regulation. Final Score Prediction: Colorado State 17 Wyoming 24

Bet: Under 51.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Colorado State 7 Wyoming 17

Today’s Record: 1-0
All-Time Record: 13-16 (44.8%)

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Dallas Mavericks (DAL -10, 221.5) 8:40 PM

The Cavs are playing an opponent for the second time for the fourth time this month. The Mavericks won the first meeting 131-111. They are 1-2 in the first meeting against the other three teams (Knicks, 76ers and Heat) and are 0-3 in the rematch. While the Cavs scored no more or no less than 3 points from the first meeting to the rematch, their opponents all scored more than 16 points from the first meeting to the rematch. Meanwhile the O/U in the first matchup 0-3 while the rematch it was 2-1. The If these trends continue, the Mavs could win somewhere in the area of 147-111. That probably won’t happen, but I’ll give 10 points and expect this one to be high scoring.

Bet: DAL -10/Over 221.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Cavs 101 Mavericks 143

Boston Celtics @ Denver Nuggets (DEN -5,206.5) 9:10 PM

The Celtics have allowed 100 points or less during regulation in four straight games allowing 94.8 ppg while their offense is only scoring 100 ppg during that span. Meanwhile the Nuggets have held 6 of their last 8 opponents to 100 points or less and only allow 102.3 ppg on the season which ranks 3rd. The under has hit in 4 straight Celtics games and in 6 of the last 8 Nuggets games. I don’t see either team getting to 100 points tonight, so I like the under play here.

Bet: Under 206.5
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Celtics 92 Nuggets 96

Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clippers (LAC -5, 229) 10:40 PM

We have made good money cashing in on the under with these two teams. In 9 of the last 11 Rockets games, the under has cashed in while 9 of the last Clippers games have hit the under as well. The total was set at 233 the last time these two played on November 13th and the Rockets won 102-93 and yet the total is similar to the first time they played. If anything, Paul George’s return only adds another defensive weapon to help slow down James Harden who had 47 points in that win.

Bet: Under 229
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Rockets 119 Clippers 122

Today’s Record: 3-1
All-Time Record: 22-20 (52.4%)

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (HOU -3.5, 46) 8:20 PM

*T.Y. Hilton is questionable. He participated in full during Wednesday’s practice. Will be evaluated during warm ups. UPDATE: T.Y. Hilton is active

*T.Y. Hilton is looking like he will return to the Colts lineup today. Although they are 6-4 on the season, they are 5-1 when Hilton suits up including 5 straight wins. With Brissett healthy, they are 5-2 on the season. The question now stands, how will this team fare with Marlon Mack out. However, I don’t think that will impact this game so much. Mack has faced the Texans 5 times in his career and averages 3.9 ypc and 56.4 ypg. The Colts are 5-0 in those games. Brissett plays extraordinarily well against these Texans. He is 3-0 against them, has thrown 7 TD and 0 INT and has only taken 1 sack. The Colts have won 5 of the last 6 against the Texans, with the only loss being a 3 point overtime loss in which the Colts actually led in overtime and went for it on 4th down in their own territory with the game tied. The Texans are 1-3 ATS at home this season and have lost 5 of the last 6 games at home vs the Colts. Take the Colts moneyline if you trust Adam Vinatieri…ugh! Final Score Prediction: Colts 27 Texans 24

Bet: Colts +3.5
Confidence: 3 Units
Result: Colts 17 Texans 20

Bonus Prop Bets:

One of the reasons I like the Colts to cover the spread is because I think they will get off to a better start than the Texans. The Texans are averaging 2.3 points in the first quarter this year which ranks 31st with only the Redskins who are worse (Perspective: Bears are 30th with 2.4 so the Texans are basically a Trubisky led offense in the first quarter). In 6 of Brissett’s last 7 starts this season, the Colts have scored at least one first quarter touchdown. I like the plus odds and the trends.

Bet: IND Colts Tie No Bet – 1st Quarter +132
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: 0-0

T.Y. Hilton averages 101.3 yards per game against the Texans including 10 TD in 15 games. At +180 to score at any point during this game against this awful and banged up Texans secondary that has allowed 14 passing touchdowns this year which is 6th worst in the league is a solid prop for tonight.

Bet: T.Y. Hilton to score +180
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: T.Y. Hilton 0 TDs

Today’s Record: 1-1-1
All-Time Record: 11-8 (57.9%)

Toledo @ Buffalo (BUF -8, 54) 7:30 PM

The Bulls allowed 24 points in the 4^th quarter to Kent State last Thursday to blow a 21 point lead. They had not allowed 24 points in any entire game in 8 of their previous 9 games. The Rockets average 252.9 rush yards per game, 10^th in the nation. However, Buffalo allows 82.1 rush yards per game, 4^th in the nation. If the Bulls can make the Rockets one dimensional, who rank 100^th in passing, then the Bulls should be able to shut this offense down and score enough points against a Rocket’s defense that has allowed 37.5 ppg over their last 4 games. Final Score Prediction: Toledo 20 Buffalo 38

Bet: BUF -8
Confidence: 2 Units
Result:  Toledo 30 Buffalo 49

Today’s Record: 1-0
All-Time Record: 12-16 (42.9%)

Orlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors (TOR -3, 207) 7:40 PM

The Magic are coming over a 5 game homestand in which they won 4 games including 3 straight. Despite going 4-1, they were just 2-3 ATS. Now they have to travel to a different country with their 0-4 road record and take on the Raptors who are 5-0 SU at home and 4-1 ATS. Despite losing Lowry and Ibaka to injuries, the Raptors have managed to go 4-2 SU and ATS while only being a favorite in two games in which they blew out the Pelicans by 18 to cover a 2 points spread and on Monday when they destroyed the Hornets by 36 to cover that 8.5 point spread. Their defense is still only allowing 103 ppg without their two stars and I think that helps them to victory tonight.

Bet: TOR -3
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Magic 97 Raptors 113

Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks (DAL -13.5, 218) 7:40 PM

The Warriors snapped a 7 game losing streak by beating the Grizzlies last night. While the Warriors are playing back-to-back, they are 2-1 ATS with no days rest. The Mavericks are coming off a 7 point win against the Spurs on Monday night. 11 of their 13 games have been decided by 10 points or less. The Mavericks have been a favorite in all 7 home games they have played this season, and while they have a 4-3 SU record, they are only 2-5 ATS at home. The Warriors have been competitive lately, and while I don’t see them winning this game, I think they’ll do enough to keep it close.

Bet: GS +13.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Warriors 94 Mavericks 142

Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets (DEN -1, 222) 9:10 PM

The Rocket’s are known for their offense that scores 119.5 ppg which ranks 1st in the league. Despite being the highest scoring offense, the under has cashed in 8 of their last 10 games. Their defense has been nothing short of great during their current 8 game winning streak in which they have allowed 103.8 ppg which would rank 6th on the entire season. Denver’s defense is even better, only allowing 102.9 ppg which ranks 4th. 5 of their last 7 games have hit under the total. No, they have not faced a better offense than this, but against top 10 scoring offenses in the league, the Nuggets are allowing 101.8 ppg while the Rockets are scoring 107.3 ppg against top 10 defenses. I don’t think either team gets to 110 so I like the under.

Bet: Under 222
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Rockets 95 Nuggets 105

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Clippers (LAC -7, 218.5) 10:10 PM

The Celtics scored 140 points against the Wizards last Wednesday night but have since just scored 101 ppg over their last 3 games which have all hit under the total. The Clippers have only allowed 102 ppg over their last 6 games including keeping five of those teams under 101 points. The under has hit in 8 of their last 11 games. Although this will be the Clippers 3rd lowest total of the season, the previous 5 lowest totals have all hit the under.

Condition: Kawhi Leonard must be active to play this bet. He’s questionable as of this posting. Without Kawhi, the Clippers score 117.4 ppg, allow 112 ppg and the over/under is 3-2. With Kawhi, the Clippers score 110.2 ppg, allow 103.6 ppg and the over/under is 2-7.

Bet: Under 218.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Celtics 104 Clippers 107 OT

DRAFTKINGS PROP SPECIAL:

Draftkings has a promotion tonight to create a parlay of player props and if you get one wrong, you get your money back in form of a free bet. So let’s try it out. The first one is going to be Bradley Beal Over 29.5 points. We actually get this one at plus odds at +110. He has scored 30 or more points in 4 of his last 5 games and has averaged 40.7 ppg over his last 3. The total for this game is 237.5 which is the highest on the board and I like Beal to have a big night. The second one is Clint Capela over 12.5 rebounds. He has had 20 rebounds in 4 straight games and at least 13 in 6 straight since returning from his shoulder injury. He’s averaging 13.1 rpg this season but 18.2 over his last 6 games. He has at least 12 rebounds in 8 of the 9 games where he’s played at least 29 minutes which includes each of the last 6 games in which he has played an average of 35 mpg.

Bet: Beal Over 29.5 points/Capela Over 12.5 rebounds
Confidence: with the promotion, 5 Units
Result: Beal 33 points; Capela 21 rebounds

Today’s Record: 4-1
All-Time Record: 19-17 (52.8%)

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers (LAL -10.5, 211) 10:40 PM

The only value I see on tonight’s NBA slate doesn’t come until 10:40 PM, sorry about that. Here we have two of the best defenses in the league. The Thunder allow 105.8 ppg (8th) while teams are shooting 44.7% against them (12th). The Lakers allow 100.6 ppg (1st) and 95.4 ppg at home (1st) while holding teams to 40.3% shooting at home (1st). The Thunder have scored 93.3 ppg over their last 3 games, including under 90 twice. The Lakers have scored 120+ in 3 of their last 4 games, but those were against the 16th, 24th and 28th ranked defenses in terms of scoring. I like this one to stay under.

Bet: Under 211
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Oklahoma City 107 Los Angeles Lakers 112

Today’s Record: 0-1
All-Time Record: 15-16 (48.4%)

Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois (NIU -5, 55) 7:30 PM
Ohio @ Bowling Green (OH -21, 57.5) 7:30 PM

The Huskies have owned the Eagles, winning 11 straight meetings between the two schools. I do think this game could be close, so I’ll pair the ML with another MACtion game. Ohio is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games while Bowling Green is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games so I have no faith in either team right now. However, the total has gone under in 13 of Bowling Green’s last 15 games while 4 of the last 5 road games for Ohio have gone under the total. Final Score Predictions: Eastern Michigan 24 Northern Illinois 27; Ohio 33 Bowling Green 14

Bet: NIU ML/Under 57.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Eastern Michigan 45 Northern Illinois 17; Ohio 66 Bowling Green 24

Today’s Record: 0-1
All-Time Record: 11-16 (40.7%)

Vermont @ Virginia (UVA -14.5, 113.5) 7 PM

Vermont was a 13 seed in the NCAA Tournament last year and now have started the 2019 season 4-0 overall and 3-0 on the road. Virginia on the other hand is 3-0 and have allowed no more than 42 points in a game this season. Despite the Catamount’s 4-0 start, they are shooting 38.4% (284th) and 20.8% from 3 (346th). Good luck against this Cavalier team. The Catamount’s are keeping their opponents to 59.3 ppg this season, so I am considering a UVA/Under Parlay but for this, I’ll lock in UVA to cover.

Bet: UVA -14.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Vermont 55 Virginia 61

Nevada @ Davidson (DAV -9, 146.5) 7 PM

The Wolfpack’s back court has two guys scoring over 18 ppg in Lindsay Drew and Jazz Johnson. While they are 2-2 on the year, they have gone toe to toe with some of the best teams in the country, losing at Utah by 5 and vs USC by 10. The Wildcats picked up their first win of the season against UNCW on Saturday to get to 1-2 on the season. I think this should be a close game, and I’ll gladly take the 9 points.

Bet: NEV +9
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Nevada 71 Davidson 91

Today’s Record: 0-2
All-Time Record: 10-3 (76.9%)

Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets (BKN -3.5, 218) 7:30 PM

Pacers have really struggled to score lately averaging only 98.7 ppg over their last 3 games. But now they get the Nets, a team they scored 118 points against earlier in the season and who has allowed 116.8 ppg over their last 6 games. 3 of the last 4 Nets games have gone over and this is a low total so I think these teams will get there.

Bet: Over 218
Confidence: 1 Unit
Result: Pacers 115 Nets 86

Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls (MIL -8.5, 230.5) 8:10 PM

The Bucks only scored 102 points on Saturday against the Pacers. But before then, they had scored 121+ points in 4 of their last 5 games including 124 against the Bulls last Thursday. The Bulls have scored 111+ points in 5 of their last 6 games including 115 against the Bucks last Thursday. Anytime the Bucks are on the floor, they can score 125+, something they have done 4 times already this season. I’ll take the over here.

Bet: Over 230.5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Bucks 115 Bulls 101

Today’s Record: 0-2
All-Time Record: 15-15 (50%)

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs (KC -5, 52.5) 8:15 PM

The Chiefs come in to this game tied for first place with the Raiders while the Chargers try to keep pace and keep their slim playoff hopes alive. The Chargers are 3-5-2 ATS this season, in large part because they allow a 71.7% completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks, 2nd worst in the league. At least they aren’t playing a former MVP this week. Oh wait. I expect somewhat of a shootout tonight, which means the over is definitely in play, but I just don’t trust the Chargers offense to keep up, even against this poor Chiefs defense. Final Score Prediction: Chargers 24 Chiefs 37

Bet: KC -5
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: Chargers 17 Chiefs 24

Bonus Prop Bet:

Mahomes looks to be back healthier and scarier than ever. As much as he spreads the ball around, he is still finding his favorite receiver Tyreek Hill on a consistent basis. Hill has seen 9 or more targets in 4 of his last 5, including 19 last week! He has caught 6 or more passes in three straight games including 11 last week. He shouldn’t have any trouble grabbing 6 tonight in Mexico City in what should be a high scoring game.

Bet: Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 Receptions
Confidence: 2 Units
Result: 0 Receptions

Today’s Record: 1-1
All-Time Record: 10-7 (58.8%)